使用Python进行机器学习的加密货币价格预测

B. Nikitha, Addanki Sudha Maheswari, Dudekula Shameena, Bandaru Poojasri, H. Kauser, G. S. Rao
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摘要

我们使用和研究广泛的机器学习方法来预测和交易日常加密货币市场。我们教算法根据市场价值最高的100种加密货币的价格变化进行每日市场预测。根据我们的研究,所有使用的模型都能够做出统计上合理的估计,所有加密货币的平均准确率在52.9%到54.1%之间。当这些精确的数字是基于对每节课和每一天最有信心的10%的期望时,它们会上升到57.5%到59.5%之间。数据科学领域有一个著名的案例研究,研究人们如何试图计算出不同数字货币的价值。股票价格和加密货币的价格不仅仅是基于买卖订单的数量。目前,政府关于数字货币的金融政策影响着这些东西的价格变化。人们对加密货币或直接或间接支持加密货币的明星的看法也可能导致该货币的买卖大幅增加。这项研究着眼于当今市场上最著名的三种货币的可信度:比特币,基于机器学习工作的以太坊和莱特币的购买策略有多好。模型在良好和恶劣的市场环境下进行了检验和测试。这让我们可以计算出,根据市场在验证和测试时间之间的感觉变化,预测的准确性有多高。
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Crypto Currency Price Prediction with Machine Learning Using Python
We use and study a wide range of machine learning methods to predict and trade in the daily crypto currency market. We teach the algorithms to make daily market predictions based on how the 100 cryptocurrencies with the most market value change in price. Based on our research, all of the used models are able to make estimates that are statistically sound, with the average accuracy of all crypto currencies falling between 52.9% and 54.1%. When these accurate numbers are based on the 10% most confident expectations for each class and day, they go up to somewhere between 57.5% and 59.5%. A well-known case study in the field of data science looks at how people try to figure out how much different digital currencies are worth. Stock prices and the prices of cryptocurrencies are based on more than just the amount of buy and sell orders. At the moment, the government's financial policies about digital currencies affect how the prices of these things change. People's views about a crypto currency or a star who directly or indirectly backs a crypto currency can also cause a big rise in buying and selling of that currency. This study looks at the trustworthiness of the three most famous coins on the market today: bitcoin, how well buying strategies for ethereum and litecoin that are based on machine learning work. The models are checked and tested with both good and bad market situations. This lets us figure out how accurate the forecasts are in light of any changes in how the market feels between the proof and test times.
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