东盟国家国内生产总值、外国直接投资、通货膨胀率和失业率的关系

Mohamad Azlan bin Mohamed Asri, Bayu Taufiq Possumah, Grida Saktian Laksito
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引用次数: 0

摘要

失业是大多数发展中国家,特别是东盟国家面临的重大挑战之一。本研究旨在探讨选定东盟国家的国内生产总值、外国直接投资、通货膨胀率和失业率之间的关系。该小组从世界银行收集了马来西亚、印度尼西亚和泰国1980年至2017年的数据。数据采用静态面板回归分析。研究结果表明,方法随机效应模型(REM)更为合适,国内生产总值与失业率呈负相关关系。此外,外国直接投资和通货膨胀率与马来西亚、印度尼西亚和泰国的失业率呈正相关。本研究的整体结果可以指导政策制定者考虑东盟面临的失业波动,并制定政策以实现东盟共同体。
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The Relationship between Gross Domestic Product, Foreign Direct Investments, Inflation Rate and Unemployment in Selected ASEAN Countries
Unemployment is one of the significant challenges faced by most developing countries, especially in ASEAN. This study aims to investigate the relationship between gross domestic product, foreign direct investment, inflation rate and unemployment in selected ASEAN countries. The panel data collected from the World Bank covering the period of 1980-2017 for Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand. The data were analysed using static panel regression. The results of this study showed that Method Random Effect Model (REM) is more appropriate and that gross domestic product has a negative relationship with unemployment. Further, foreign direct investment and the inflation rate positively correlate with unemployment in Malaysia, Indonesia and Thailand. The overall findings of this study can guide policymakers to consider the unemployment fluctuations faced by ASEAN and establish policies to realise ASEAN Community.
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