洪水频率分析的非参数核回归估计

Y. Moon
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文提出了一种非参数核回归方法,用于估算限定地点年最大洪水事件的洪水频率分位数。对高斯数据、偏态数据(3参数Gamma)和高斯混合数据三种情况下的参数估计和非参数核回归估计(NK)进行了比较。由于参数估计器的结果会根据情况而变化,因此很难说哪个估计器是最好的。然而,在考虑偏差和均方根误差(RMSE)的估计情况下,非参数核分位数估计器(NK)的性能相对一致。
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A Nonparametric Kernel Regression Estimator for Flood Frequency Analysis
A nonparametric kernel regression for estimating flood frequency quantile of annual maximum flood events at a gaged site is presented in this paper. Parametric estimators and a nonparametric kernel regression estimator (NK) are compared for three situations—Gaussian data, Skewed data (3 parameter Gamma) and Gaussian Mixture data. Since the results of parametric estimators varied according to the situation, it is not easy to say which estimator is the best. However, the performance of the nonparametric kernel quantile estimator (NK) was relatively consistent across the estimation situations considered in terms of bias and root mean square error (RMSE).
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