宗教活动会影响生育决定吗?格鲁吉亚事件

Lasha Lanchava
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摘要

为了应对国内出生率下降的问题,2007年10月,格鲁吉亚东正教教堂的负责人宣布,他将亲自为从那时起出生的任何第三个或更多的东正教家庭的婴儿施洗。本研究将该倡议作为自然实验来探索宗教活动的经济后果。本分析使用来自格鲁吉亚高加索资源研究中心(CRRC)的个人层面调查数据,研究东正教基督徒(治疗组)和非东正教基督徒(对照组)人口在计划前后的生育率,以确定教会领袖的承诺对出生率的影响。采用差中差估计法来检验潜在的因果关系。这项分析没有发现证据表明教会的倡议对生育率有影响。
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Does Religious Activity Affect Childbearing Decisions? The Case of Georgia
In response to the problem of shrinking birthrates in the country, in October 2007, the head of the Georgian Orthodox church announced that he would personally baptize any third and further baby born to Orthodox families from that time. This study uses the initiative as a natural experiment to explore the economic consequences of religious activity. This analysis uses individual level survey data from the Caucasus Resource Research Center (CRRC) Georgia on fertility before and after the initiative for Orthodox Christians (treatment group) and Non- Orthodox Christians (control group) population to identify the effect of the church leader’s promise on birth rates. Difference-in-differences estimation procedure is employed to examine the potential causal effect. This analysis does not find evidence that the church initiative had an effect on fertility.
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