基于LSTM神经网络的水质预测方法

Yuanyuan Wang, Jian Zhou, Ke-Jia Chen, Yunyun Wang, Linfeng Liu
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引用次数: 78

摘要

水质预测不仅对水资源的管理,而且对水污染的防治都具有重要的现实意义。这是一个时间序列预测问题,传统的神经网络并不适合。提出了一种基于长短期记忆神经网络(LSTM NN)的水质预测方法。首先,建立了基于LSTM神经网络的预测模型。其次,以2000 ~ 2006年太湖水质指标月度测量数据集作为训练数据进行模型训练。再次,为了提高模型的预测精度,进行了一系列的仿真和参数选择。最后,将该方法与基于反向传播神经网络和基于在线顺序极值学习机的两种方法进行了比较。结果表明,该方法具有较高的精度和通用性。
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Water quality prediction method based on LSTM neural network
Water quality prediction has more practical significance not only for the management of water resources but also for the prevention of water pollution. It's a time series prediction problem which the traditional neural network isn't suitable. A new water quality prediction method based on long and short term memory neural network (LSTM NN) for water quality prediction is proposed in this paper. Firstly, a prediction model based on LSTM NN is established. Secondly, as the training data, the data set of water quality indicators in Taihu Lake which measured monthly from 2000 to 2006 years is used for training model. Thirdly, to improve the predictive accuracy of the model, a series of simulations and parameters selection are carried out. Finally, the proposed method is compared with two methods: one is based on back propagation neural network, the other is based on online sequential extreme learning machine. The results show that the method is more accurate and more generalized.
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