平衡北欧大陆的市场整合:2030年案例研究

H. Farahmand, T. Aigner, G. Doorman, M. Korpås, D. H. Hernando
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引用次数: 14

摘要

只提供摘要形式。由于来自可再生能源的不可控发电份额的增加,未来的电力系统将面临更多的不确定性,因此需要提高生产灵活性。风能预计将占未来可再生能源发电的很大一部分。本文对两种平衡市场模型进行了比较,模拟了2030年未来情景下北欧市场的非一体化和完全一体化。风力发电的建模基于高分辨率数值天气预报模型和实际和预测风力发电的风速测量。日前调度和平衡能源市场分别求解。首先,对日前市场进行建模,同时对北欧大陆进行储备采购。备用采购阶段考虑了可用输电容量。第二步,将平衡能源市场建模为基于日前市场清算结果的实时电力调度。研究结果表明,平衡市场整合对于处理可变生产是有利的。平衡市场整合可以节省成本,因为不平衡净额减少了储备的激活,并且在整合更大的地理区域时增加了更便宜的平衡资源的可用性。
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Balancing market integration in the Northern European continent: A 2030 case study
Summary form only given. Increased production flexibility will be needed for the operation of a future power system with more uncertainty due to an increased share of uncontrollable generation from renewable sources. Wind energy is expected to cover a large portion of the future renewable generation. In this paper, a comparison is carried out between two balancing market models, simulating a non- and fully-integrated northern European market in a future 2030 scenario. Wind power is modelled based on high resolution numerical weather prediction models and wind speed measurement for actual and forecasted wind power production. The day-ahead dispatch and balancing energy markets are settled separately. First, the day-ahead market is modelled with simultaneous reserve procurement for northern continental Europe. Available transmission capacity is taken into account in the reserve procurement phase. In a second step, the balancing energy market is modelled as a real-time power dispatch on the basis of the day-ahead market clearing results. The results show the benefit of balancing market integration for the handling of variable production. Cost savings are obtained from balancing market integration due to less activation of reserves resulting from imbalance netting and increased availability of cheaper balancing resources when integrating larger geographical areas.
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