简单线性回归模型中调整后的非参数和参数统计区间估计新方法的效率比较

Saichon Sinsomboonthong, Juthaphorn Sinsomboonthong
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摘要

在本研究中,作者感兴趣的是在简单线性回归模型中对新的调整后的非参数和参数统计区间估计方法进行效率比较研究。自变量和误差来自正态分布、受尺度污染的正态分布和伽玛分布。在1000次迭代的简单线性回归模型中进行了最小二乘法、贝叶斯法、杰克刀法、Theil法、最优型Theil法以及新的调整后的Theil - sen法和Siegel法等6种点估计。本研究考虑的标准是置信区间的系数和置信区间的平均宽度,用于比较和确定简单线性回归模型的六种区间估计的最优有效性。在β 0正态分布和尺度污染正态分布的区间估计中,最小二乘法的置信区间平均宽度最窄。对于β 1的区间估计,贝叶斯方法在方差为1的小范围内置信区间的平均宽度最窄,其次是最优型的Theil - sen和Siegel方法,其次是新调整的Theil - sen和Siegel方法。在β 1 γ分布的区间估计中,贝叶斯方法的置信区间平均宽度最窄,其次是最优型Theil - sen和Siegel方法,其次是新调整的Theil - sen和Siegel方法。最优型Theil法适用于中等样本量,而Theil法和新调整的Theil - sen和Siegel法适用于小样本量和大样本量。因此,新的调整后的Theil - sen和Siegel方法可以在许多情况下使用,可以代替最优型Theil和Theil方法进行非参数统计区间估计。
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Efficiency Comparison of New Adjusted Nonparametric and Parametric Statistics Interval Estimation Methods in the Simple Linear Regression Model
In this research, the authors were interested in an efficiency comparison study of new adjusted nonparametric and parametric statistics interval estimation methods in the simple linear regression model. The independent variable and the error came from normal, scale-contaminated normal, and gamma distributions. Six point estimations were performed, for example, least squares, Bayesian, Jack knife, Theil, optimum-type Theil, and new adjusted Theil–Sen and Siegel methods in the simple linear regression model with 1,000 iterations. The criteria used to consider in this study were the coefficient of the confidence interval and the average width of the confidence interval used to compare and determine the optimal effectiveness for six interval estimations of the simple linear regression model. In the interval estimation for normal and scale-contaminated normal distributions of β 0 , the least squares method had the narrowest average width of confidence interval. For the interval estimation of β 1 , the Bayesian method had the narrowest average width of confidence interval in a small variance of 1, followed by the same of optimum-type Theil and new adjusted Theil–Sen and Siegel methods, and Theil method, respectively. In the interval estimation for gamma distribution of β 1 , the Bayesian method had the narrowest average width of confidence interval, followed by optimum-type Theil, new adjusted Theil–Sen and Siegel, and Theil methods, respectively. The optimum-type Theil method was good for medium sample size, while Theil and new adjusted Theil–Sen and Siegel methods were good for small and large sample sizes. Therefore, new adjusted Theil–Sen and Siegel method can be used in many situations and can be used in place of optimum-type Theil and Theil methods for nonparametric statistics interval estimation.
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