流行病和国家债务解决方案

Endang Rudiatin, Wibowo Hadiwardoyo
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引用次数: 1

摘要

许多国家被迫增加债务以应对新冠肺炎大流行,并假设一旦经济恢复正常,疫情就会得到解决。但是,尽管已经过去了一年半,大流行仍在继续。新型冠状病毒的出现迫使政府重新实施了更严格的限制。其直接结果是预算赤字,因为州政府收入下降,而支出上升。限制持续的时间越长,赤字就会越大,因此很有可能出现额外的新债务。随着债务数量的增加,需要各种方案来解决这些问题,包括最坏的方案。这项研究根据过去几个国家的经验,提出了一个国家偿还难以偿还的债务的各种可能性。尽管面临复杂的国内政治挑战,但这也是一种可能的突破性替代方案。另一种方法是通过互联网在虚拟社区中对流行病和国家债务现象进行现象学研究。结果表明,国家在克服经济危机方面采取了共同行动,即提高税率,减少雇员/官员的工资和设施,出售国有企业(股份)。然后是不受欢迎的替代方案,如将某些岛屿/地区租赁给外国政党,以及其他突破。
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Pandemic and State Debt Settlement Scenarios
Many countries have been forced to increase their debt to face the Covid-19 pandemic with the assumption that it will be settled once the economy returns to normal. But the pandemic is still ongoing even though it has passed a year and a half. The emergence of new variants of the Coronavirus has forced the re-imposition of even stricter restrictions. The direct result is a budget deficit, as state revenues fall, while spending rises. The longer the restrictions last, the larger the deficit will be, so it is still very possible for additional new debt to occur. With the increasing number of debts, scenarios are needed to solve them, including the worst option. This study presents various possibilities that a country can do to pay off debts that are difficult to repay, based on the experiences of several countries that have experienced it in the past. It is also a possible new breakthrough alternative, despite facing complex domestic political challenges. The alternative is based on phenomenological research in virtual communities through the internet on the phenomenon of pandemics and state debt. The results show common actions by the State in overcoming the economic crisis, namely, increasing tax rates, reducing salaries and facilities for employees/officials, selling (shares) of State-Owned Enterprises (BUMN). Then unpopular alternative offers such as leasing certain islands/areas to foreign parties, and other breakthroughs.
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