导致司机发生交通事故的决定因素:以南埃塞俄比亚Arba Minch市为例

Tesfahun Zewde
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引用次数: 9

摘要

本研究采用分层随机抽样的方法,选取200名驾驶人,并采用结构化问卷的方式收集数据,以评估导致Arba Minch市驾驶人发生交通事故的因素。从抽样的司机中,62%的司机卷入了一起或多起事故。与负二项回归模型相比,泊松回归模型是比较合适的。在泊松回归分析中,驾驶员经验、酒后驾驶、持有更多驾照、超速驾驶、处罚次数等变量是导致研究区域驾驶员发生交通事故的原因。道路安全专业人员应针对这些因素,努力减少交通事故的发生。
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Determinants that Lead Drivers into Traffic Accidents: A Case of Arba Minch City, South Ethiopia
This study attempted to assess the factors that lead drivers into traffic accidents at Arba Minch City. 200 drivers were selected using stratified random sampling method and the data have been collected using structured questioners. From sampled drivers 62% of the drivers were involved in one or more accidents. Poisson regression model was the appropriate one compared to the negative binomial regression model for the data. From Poisson regression analysis variables like driver experience, driving after alcohol use, having more licenses, speedy driving, and number of punishments were the causes that lead drivers into traffic accidents in the study area. Road safety professionals should target these factors in their efforts to reduce the occurrence of traffic accidents.
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