Liza油田开发-圭亚那的观点

Keron Alleyne, L. Layne, M. Soroush
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引用次数: 2

摘要

2015年5月,埃克森美孚在圭亚那-苏里南盆地Stabroek区块的南美洲国家圭亚那海岸120英里处成功开采了Liza 1号井。在Liza 1成功之前,其他公司已经钻了22口井,所有这些井都是非商业性的。埃克森美孚表示,Liza油田一期开发的可采储量将在8 - 14亿桶油当量之间。根据美国地质调查报告,Liza油田是南美洲最有前景的盆地之一-圭亚那-苏里南盆地的一部分。根据ExxonMobil一期开发计划,使用Petrel、Wellplot Digitizer、PROSPER、CMG和Microsoft Excel创建了一个代表性模型,该模型由8个生产设备、3个注气器和6个注水井组成。模拟结果表明,在25年的时间里,Liza一期开发将开采约4.56亿桶石油和3.5万亿立方英尺天然气,相当于10.4亿桶油当量。根据圭亚那政府和埃克森美孚之间的产量分成协议,进行了经济评估,量化了政府从Liza油田第一期开发中获得的收入份额。经济评估的变量包括资本支出(CAPEX)、油气价格、运营支出(OPEX)、2%的特许权使用费、成本回收机制和50%的利润分成给圭亚那政府。根据埃克森美孚估计的资本投资45亿美元,油价为50美元/桶,天然气价格为2.50美元/百万英热,以及该项目25年期间的预计运营费用,圭亚那在此期间的新收入总额将达到89亿美元。据估计,圭亚那在开发成本中的份额将在Liza油田开始生产后的六(6)年内偿还。
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Liza Field Development - The Guyanese Perspective
In May 2015, ExxonMobil successfully brought in the Liza 1 wildcat well, 120 miles off the coast of the South American nation of Guyana in the Stabroek block, in the Guyana-Suriname basin. Prior to the Liza 1 success, there were 22 wells drilled by other companies, all of which proved to be non-commercial. ExxonMobil stated that recoverable reserves from the Liza field – Phase 1 development would be in the range of 0.8 – 1.4 billion barrels of oil equivalent. The Liza field is part of one of the most prospective basins in South America based on a US Geological survey report - the Guyana-Suriname basin. A representative model was created using Petrel, Wellplot Digitizer, PROSPER, CMG and Microsoft Excel and consists of eight (8) producers, three (3) gas injectors and six (6) water injectors as outlined in the ExxonMobil Phase 1 development plan. Simulation results indicate that over a twenty-five (25) year period approximately 456 MMSTB of oil and 3.5 TCF of gas, equivalent to 1.04 billion BOE will be recovered from the Liza Phase 1 development. Based on the Production Sharing Agreement between the Guyana government and ExxonMobil, an economic assessment was undertaken which quantifies the government share of revenues to be obtained from the Liza field – Phase 1 development. The variables in this economic evaluation included capital expenditure (CAPEX), oil and gas price, operational expenditure (OPEX), 2% royalty payment, cost recovery mechanism and 50% profit split to the Guyana government. Based on ExxonMobil estimated capital investment of $US 4.5 billion, an oil price of $US 50/bbl, gas price of $US 2.50/MMBTU and this project's projected operational expenses over the twenty five year period, total new revenue to Guyana over this period will amount to $US8.9 billion. It is also estimated that Guyana's share of the development cost will be paid back within six (6) years of commencement of production of the Liza field.
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