计算机社会主义中的经济缺陷

Joseph Kane
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摘要

在20世纪上半叶,与奥地利学派有关的经济学家认为,有效的经济计算所必需的信息需要使用市场价格,不能以一种使中央计划成为可行选择的方式集中。由此得出的结论是,在任何有意义的意义上,社会主义都是不可能的。但新技术让一些人质疑这种说法。从20世纪70年代的兰格到更现代的人都认为,只要技术足够先进,中央计划就会奏效。鉴于过去几十年的巨大技术飞跃,社会主义的说法似乎从未像现在这样可信。物联网的兴起、速度越来越快的超级计算机和千兆互联网接入,让我们得以一窥现在这个彻底互联的世界。在这个世界里,有关商品微小细节的精确信息正以接近光速的速度在世界各地传播。社会主义方面的一些人现在声称,奥地利学派告诉他们必须分散并通过市场价格传达的信息,现在可以被计算机吸收。本文分析了当前的或任何可以想象的建议,即在根本联系的现代,是否可以解决知识问题,使中央计划成为一种可行的经济组织方式。它发现,声称技术可以解决中央计划经济的问题,根本没有抓住奥地利学派批判的要点。中央计划,利用互联网或任何其他手段,仍然不能摆脱竞争的市场过程,没有竞争的市场过程,就不可能发现经济计算所必需的信息。
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Economic Flaws in Computerized Socialism
In the first half of the twentieth century, economists associated with the Austrian school argued information necessary to effective economic calculation requires the use of market prices and cannot be centralized in a way that would make central planning a viable alternative. It followed from this conclusion that socialism, in any meaningful sense, is impossible. But new technology leads some to question that claim. Voices from Lange in the 1970s to those more contemporary hold that if only technology could become advanced enough, central planning would work. Given the large technological leaps of the past few decades, the socialist claim has never seemed more plausible. The rise of the Internet of things, ever-faster supercomputers, and gigabit Internet access provides a glimpse into the now radically connected world in which precise information about minute details of goods is transmitted around the world at near the speed of light. Some on the socialist side are now claiming that the very information that the Austrians told them had to be decentralized and conveyed by market prices can now be assimilated by computers. This paper analyzes whether current, or any conceivable, proposals that the radically connected modern age could solve the knowledge problem and make central planning a viable method of economic organization. It finds that claims that technology can solve the problems with central planning simply miss the point of the Austrian critique. Central planning, using the Internet or any other means, still cannot dispense with the competitive market process without which the discovery of the information necessary for economic calculation is impossible.
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