农业作物选择的集成机器学习方法

A. Islam, Imranul Khair, Sakawat Hossain, Rashedul Arefin Ifty, M. Arefin, M. Patwary
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摘要

在大多数国家,农业收入和就业的重要性随着时间的推移而下降。孟加拉国也是如此。农民通常根据他们以前的经验来设计种植过程。由于缺乏精确的农业知识,他们可能最终种植不受欢迎的作物。一些研究已经使用机器学习方法来预测农业产出,但只有少数使用集成机器学习方法。我们使用孟加拉国统计局的三种主要作物数据,即澳大利亚稻、阿曼稻和马铃薯,以及孟加拉国气象部门43年来的7个天气参数化数据。本研究的主要贡献是通过在收集的数据集上使用Catboost回归器和XGBoost回归器及其新颖的机器学习算法组合,开发了集成机器学习方法(EMLA)。该研究将所提出的EMLA与八种知名的机器学习算法的准确率和错误率进行了比较。我们所提出的EMLA在澳大利亚大米、阿曼大米和马铃薯的r平方得分分别为88.084%、91.776%和90%,达到了很高的准确率。结果表明,EMLA技术通过依赖于另一个模型的强大性能来提高输出和预测。本研究的主要目标是提高克服粮食困难的可预测性,并创建孟加拉国农业的智能信息预测分析,以实现高效和有利可图的农业决策。在这项研究中,我们提出了我们的集成机器学习方法用于农作物选择和产量预测。
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Ensemble Machine Learning Approach For Agricultural Crop Selection
The importance of agricultural earnings and employment in most countries has decreased with time. That is also true for Bangladesh. Farmers usually design the cultivation process based on their previous experience. Due to a lack of precise agricultural knowledge, they probably end up farming undesirable crops. Several research has employed machine learning methods to forecast agricultural output, but only a few used ensemble machine learning approaches. We use three major crop data which are Aus rice, Aman rice and Potato from the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics and the seven weather parametrized data from the Bangladesh Meteorological Department over 43 years. The main contribution of this research is the development of an Ensemble Machine Learning Approach (EMLA) by using Catboost Regressor and XGBoost Regressor with their novel combination of Machine Learning Algorithms on the collected dataset. The study compares the accuracy and error rate of the proposed EMLA with eight well-known machine learning algorithms. Our proposed EMLA achieved a high degree of accuracy with R-squared scores of 88.084%,91.776% and 90% respectively for Aus rice, Aman rice and Potato. The results show that the EMLA technique improves the output and prediction by relying on the strong performance of another model. The primary goal of this research is to improve the predictability for overcoming food difficulties and create an intelligent information prediction analysis on farming in Bangladesh for efficient and profitable farming decisions. In this research, we proposed our Ensemble Machine Learning Approach for agricultural crop selection and yield prediction.
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