中国第三方支付与商业银行:是敌是友?

Xinyuan Li, He-ping Wang
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摘要

本文研究了2013年至2020年第二季度第三方支付对中国商业银行盈利能力的影响。在中国,第三方支付近年来发展迅速,越来越多的人选择第三方支付,而不是现金和银行卡。这将对中国传统金融业务,特别是银行业产生影响。为了研究第三方支付是否会影响商业银行的盈利能力,本文选取了36家上市银行的数据进行实证分析。回归结果表明,第三方支付对我国整体商业银行具有显著的正向影响。然后,对于不同类型的银行,第三方支付对国有银行和股份制银行都有显著的正向影响。但对于城市商业银行和农村商业银行,回归结果拟合较差。最后,本文采用固定效应模型进行回归,结果仍然是正的。因此,银行应继续与第三方支付保持良好的合作关系。
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Third-party Payment and Commercial Banks in China: Friends or Enemies?
This paper explores the effect of third-party payment on the profitability of Chinese commercial banks from 2013 to the second quarter of 2020. In China, third-party payment has developed quickly in recent years, and an increasing number of people choose to pay by third-party payment instead of cash and bank card. This would have impacts on the Chinese traditional financial business, especially the banking industry. In order to find whether third-party payment impacts on commercial banks’ profitability or not, this paper selects the data of 36 listed banks for empirical analysis. The regression result shows that third-party payment has a significant positive impact on Chinese overall commercial banks. Then, for different types of banks, third-party payment has significant positive impacts on state-owned and joint-equity banks. But for urban and rural commercial banks, the regression results are poor fitting. Finally, this paper employs fixed effects model to run regressions, and results are still positive. Therefore, banks should continue to maintain a good corporative relationship with third-party payment.
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