{"title":"数据缺失情况下基于GOM(1,1)模型的电力负荷预测","authors":"Jiran Zhu, Xu Yuan-can, Hua Leng, Haiguo Tang, Gong Han-yang, Zhang Zhi-dan","doi":"10.1109/APPEEC.2016.7779929","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In the actual power load forecasting, there are often missing data in the original data due to many subjective and objective factors. GOM(1,1) model can't be used to predict based on the equidistant sequence data directly. In this paper, it is supposed that the missing data is the objective existence. Minimizing relative error is taken as the objective function. The problem of GOM(1,1) modeling under the condition of missing data is transformed into the problem of solving parameters and based on nonlinear programming with constraints. Through the example analysis, the forecasting result of this method in this paper is superior to GM (1,1) model and GOM (1,1) model based on traditional interpolation method.","PeriodicalId":117485,"journal":{"name":"2016 IEEE PES Asia-Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC)","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2016-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Power load forecasting based on GOM(1,1) model under the condition of missing data\",\"authors\":\"Jiran Zhu, Xu Yuan-can, Hua Leng, Haiguo Tang, Gong Han-yang, Zhang Zhi-dan\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/APPEEC.2016.7779929\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In the actual power load forecasting, there are often missing data in the original data due to many subjective and objective factors. GOM(1,1) model can't be used to predict based on the equidistant sequence data directly. In this paper, it is supposed that the missing data is the objective existence. Minimizing relative error is taken as the objective function. The problem of GOM(1,1) modeling under the condition of missing data is transformed into the problem of solving parameters and based on nonlinear programming with constraints. Through the example analysis, the forecasting result of this method in this paper is superior to GM (1,1) model and GOM (1,1) model based on traditional interpolation method.\",\"PeriodicalId\":117485,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2016 IEEE PES Asia-Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC)\",\"volume\":\"18 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2016-10-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2016 IEEE PES Asia-Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/APPEEC.2016.7779929\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2016 IEEE PES Asia-Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/APPEEC.2016.7779929","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Power load forecasting based on GOM(1,1) model under the condition of missing data
In the actual power load forecasting, there are often missing data in the original data due to many subjective and objective factors. GOM(1,1) model can't be used to predict based on the equidistant sequence data directly. In this paper, it is supposed that the missing data is the objective existence. Minimizing relative error is taken as the objective function. The problem of GOM(1,1) modeling under the condition of missing data is transformed into the problem of solving parameters and based on nonlinear programming with constraints. Through the example analysis, the forecasting result of this method in this paper is superior to GM (1,1) model and GOM (1,1) model based on traditional interpolation method.