多地质生态区水旱应对策略的决定因素

T. Nji, Roland Azibo Balgah
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引用次数: 7

摘要

洪水和干旱是最常见的与水有关的灾害,对世界各地的生计产生了负面影响,特别是在贫困仍然普遍存在的撒哈拉以南非洲国家。自然,受害者采取不同的应对策略来应对日益严重的水文气象灾害。当代关于SSA应对决策决定因素的研究在很大程度上是由孤立的案例研究驱动的,与广泛的政策制定无关。我们分析了喀麦隆多个地质生态区应对洪水和干旱的决定因素。定量数据主要来自西部高地和苏丹-萨赫勒高地地质生态带的2024年水旱受灾家庭,定性数据主要来自31个fdd和99个IDIs,采用MS Excel 2013和SPSS 20对问卷进行描述性统计和回归分析,Nvivo 11对非结构化访谈进行内容分析。结果显示,政府政策、社会文化、经济和教育因素以及灾害经历是影响应对决策的主要因素,与灾害类型、时间和地理生态无关(P = 0.05)。与最先进的技术相比,我们观察到在一些危险事件发生后,生计得到了改善。然后讨论了长期应对和恢复力建设的政策含义。
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Determinants of Coping Strategies to Floods and Droughts in Multiple Geo-Ecological Zones
Floods and droughts—the most frequent water-related hazards are negatively impacting livelihoods across the world, particularly in Sub-Saharan African countries, where poverty remains endemic. Naturally, victims adopt different coping strategies against burgeoning hydro-meteorological hazards. Contemporary research on determinants for coping decisions in SSA has been largely driven by isolated case studies, of little relevance for broad-based policy making. We analyze the determinants for coping with floods and droughts across multiple geo-eco-logical zones in Cameroon. Quantitative data primarily obtained from 2024 flood and drought household victims in the Western Highlands and Sudano-Sahelian Upland geo-ecological zones are analyzed alongside qualitative data obtained through 31 FGDs and 99 IDIs using descriptive statistics and regression analysis in MS Excel 2013 and SPSS 20 for the questionnaires and content analysis in Nvivo 11 for the unstructured interviews. Results reveal government policy, socio-cultural, economic and educational factors, and hazard experience as major shapers of coping decisions, irrespective of hazard type, timing and geo-ecology ( P = 0.05). In contrast to the state-of-the-art, we observed livelihoods improvement after some hazardous events. The policy implications for long-term coping and resilience building are then discussed.
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