基于机器学习的电力系统状态预测新方法

S. Singh, A. Thakur, S. P. Singh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

电力系统的状态估计是为控制和观察电力系统的性能提供一个持续的数据集。传统的方法有加权最小二乘法(WLS)、加权最小平均值法(WLAV)等,并利用迭代方法求解,如高斯-牛顿法。然而,这些技术对电力系统的运行条件和与可再生能源系统(RESs)相关的不确定性很敏感。在不可靠的通信网络和虚假数据注入(如网络攻击)导致数据丢失的情况下,这些技术产生的结果很差。提出了一种基于双向LSTM (BiLSTM)的电力系统状态值预测机器学习方法。BiLSTM模型利用前向和后向层,具有双向记忆,使其能够估计过去和未来的隐藏层数据。本文在不同的测试系统数据集上研究了该方法的性能。通过将所获得的结果与文献中其他机器学习技术的结果进行比较,研究了所提出方法的有效性。进一步分析了在存在高斯噪声和缺失数据点的情况下,BiLSTM模型对状态估计的鲁棒性。
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A new Machine Learning based Approach for Power System State Forecasting
State estimation in power systems is utilized to provide an ongoing data set for controlling and observing power systems' performance. There are a few traditional methods like Weighted Least Square (WLS), Weighted Least Average Value (WLAV), and settled utilizing iterative techniques, for example, Gauss-Newton methods. However, these techniques are sensitive to the operating conditions of power systems and uncertainties associated with Renewable Energy Systems (RESs). These techniques yield poor results in the presence of missing data arising out of unreliable communication networks and false data injection, as in the case of a cyber-attack. This paper proposes Bi-directional LSTM (BiLSTM) based Machine Learning method to forecast the state values of power systems. The BiLSTM model utilizes forward and backward layers, having bidirectional memory, making it capable of estimating both past and future hidden layers data. This paper investigates the performance of the proposed method studied on different test system datasets. The efficacy of the proposed method is investigated by comparing the obtained results with other Machine Learning techniques results in the literature. Further, the BiLSTM model's robustness for state estimation is analyzed in the presence of Gaussian noise and missing data points.
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