贸易开放、金融发展和经济增长之间的因果关系:来自新兴工业化国家的最新证据

Burak Tuğberk Tosunoğlu
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摘要

一个国家的金融发展和贸易开放程度是影响其融入国际经济体系的重要指标。特别是在新兴工业化国家,这些变数对确保经济增长是有益的。金融发展通过动员和有效利用资本来支持经济发展。贸易开放是生产力和经济增长的统一力量之一。贸易开放的有效性高度依赖于结构性改革。新兴工业化国家有动力从全球经济中吸引大量资本和投资。这些国家在保证工业化的同时往往鼓励出口。本研究考察了10个新兴工业化国家的金融发展、贸易开放和经济增长之间的关系。研究数据包括1990年至2020年期间的数据。采用dumitrescu_hurlin面板因果检验进行分析。从结果来看,贸易开放对经济增长和金融发展对贸易开放存在单向因果关系。此外,经济增长与金融发展之间存在双向关系。
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The causal relationship among trade openness, financial development, and economic growth: Recent evidence from newly industrialized countries (NICs)
A country's financial development and trade openness are important indicators that affect integration into the economic system at the international level. Especially in newly industrializing countries, these variables can be beneficial in ensuring economic growth. Financial development supports economic development through the mobilization and effective use of capital. Trade openness is one of the unifying forces of productivity and economic growth. The effectiveness of trade openness is highly dependent on structural reforms. Newly industrialized countries are motivated to attract large amounts of capital and investment from the global economy. These countries tend to encourage exports while ensuring their industrialization. This research investigates the relationships between financial development, trade openness, and economic growth for ten newly industrializing countries. Research data contained the period from 1990 to 2020. The Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel causality test was used in the analysis. Considering the results, there is a uni-directional causality relationship between trade openness to economic growth and financial development to trade openness. Moreover, a bidirectional relationship between economic growth and financial development has been observed.
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