印度尼西亚万隆两组摩托车手交通违规行为的纵向分析

T. B. Joewono, S.D. Legi, A. Tarigan
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引用次数: 4

摘要

据信,汽车司机或摩托车手的能力和限制会随着时间的推移而变化,这是对外部和内部触发因素的反应。事实上,关于发展中国家年轻摩托车手行为的研究非常少,而发达国家和发展中国家的摩托车手被认为是不同的。本研究旨在从发展中国家的经验出发,探讨城市地区年轻摩托车手交通违规行为的变化。分析采用2010年和2017年两个时期在印度尼西亚万隆进行问卷调查收集的数据集。完成对比分析,比较两个数据集的交通违规属性。利用结构方程模型对两个数据集的两个因果模型进行了估计,分析了交通违规的影响因素,并分析了影响因素与摩托车驾驶员特征和违规类型之间的关系。在两个数据集之间发现了违规类型的差异,这暗示了交通违规态度的变化,而在模型中没有发现因果关系的变化。这项研究证实了年轻摩托车手在骑摩托车时行为改变的灵活性,而构念之间的关系似乎更稳定。
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A Longitudinal Analysis of Traffic-Violation Behaviours among Two Groups of Motorcyclist in Bandung, Indonesia
The capability and limitations of car drivers or motorcyclists are believed to change over time as a response to external and internal triggers. As a fact, studies regarding behaviour of young motorcyclists from developing countries are very rare while motorcyclists from developed and developing are believed as different. This study aims to explore the change of behavior of young motorcyclists in committing traffic violations in urban areas from experience in developing countries. Analyses employed datasets collected using questionnaire survey from Bandung, Indonesia from two periods, namely 2010 and 2017. Comparison analyses were completed to compare traffic violations attributes between the two datasets. Two causal models from two data collections were estimated using structural equation modelling to analyse the influencing factors to traffic violations as well as to analyse the relationships of influencing factors, characteristics of motorcyclist, and type of violations. Between the two datasets it is found the difference of the type of violations which implies the change of attitudes in committing traffic violations, while the change of causal relationships is not found in the models. This study confirms the flexibility of behavior change in riding motorcycles between young motorcyclists, while relationships among constructs seem more stable.
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