塑造地区和海上战场?中印在南亚及邻近海域的战略竞争

S. Mohan, J. C. Abraham
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引用次数: 6

摘要

在本文中,我们认为中国正在寻求建立一种有利于其在南亚和邻近水域利益的力量平衡,以遏制印度的崛起。军事平衡、经济接触和新的多区域互联互通项目——“一带一路”——是中国对印度政策的关键组成部分。通过拉拢南亚和印度洋国家,中国有效地部署了“珍珠链”战略,其明确目的是将印度困在该地区,使其无法挑战中国在亚洲及其他地区的主导地位。为了中和北京咄咄逼人的行为,新德里已经制定了明确的亚洲政策,以加强与印度太平洋地区主要国家——美国、日本、澳大利亚和东南亚国家——的关系,这样它就可以发展对中国的反制手段,同时管理中国作为印度太平洋地区主要大国的崛起。考虑到印度和中国在同一地区争夺类似的权力地位,两国的利益冲突很有可能在不久的将来加剧两国的权力竞争。
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Shaping the regional and maritime battlefield? The Sino-Indian strategic competition in South Asia and adjoining waters
ABSTRACT In this paper, we argue that China is seeking to establish a balance of power favourable to its interests in South Asia and the adjoining waters to curtail India’s rise. Military balancing, economic engagement, and the new multi-regional connectivity project – the “Belt and Road Initiative” – are the key components of China’s policy against India. By roping in the South Asian and the Indian Ocean states, China has effectively deployed the “string of pearls” strategy with an express purpose to box-in India within the region so that it cannot challenge China’s primacy in Asia and beyond. To neutralise Beijing’s assertive activities, New Delhi has evolved its Asia policy with a clear motive to enhance its ties with the key Indo-Pacific states – the US, Japan, Australia, and the Southeast Asian countries – so that it could develop counter-leverages against China and simultaneously manage its rise as a major Indo-Pacific power. Given that both India and China are vying for similar power position in the same region, it is highly likely that their clashing interests might intensify their power competition in the near future.
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