基于变异系数的非线性神经网络求解基数约束组合优化问题

Ilgım Yaman, T. E. Dalkiliç
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摘要

今天,确定投资组合中的股票是金融界的主要问题。1952年,Harry Markowitz提出了标准投资组合优化,这是投资组合优化的基石。在投资组合优化问题中,主要目标是使风险最小化,同时使投资组合的预期收益最大化。由于投资组合优化问题是一个NP-hard问题,硬计算技术不满足当今的条件。由于时间的限制和经济形势的需要,许多启发式方法被用于解决投资组合优化问题,如粒子群优化、蚁群优化等。本文试图解决具有基数约束的Markowitz均值-方差投资组合优化问题,这既是一个二次优化问题,又是一个二元整数规划问题。为了解决混合整数二次优化问题,提出了基于变差系数的非线性神经网络来求解基数约束投资组合优化问题。在分析所提出的算法效率时,使用了2015年6月10日至2017年5月14日期间的ISE-30数据(İstanbul Stock Exchange 30)。最后,将本文算法的结果与文献中经典投资组合模型的结果进行了比较。
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A novel nonlinear neural network based on coefficient of variation for solving cardinality constraint portfolio optimization problem
Today, determining stocks in the portfolio is the major problems in the finance world. In 1952, Harry Markowitz had proposed standard portfolio optimization which is cornerstone of portfolio optimization. Mainly, in the Portfolio optimization problem main goal is minimizing the risk, while maximizing the expected return of portfolio. Since portfolio optimization problem is an NP-hard problem, hard computing techniques does not meet today’s conditions. Due to time constraints and the necessity of economic situations, many heuristic methods were used to solve portfolio optimization method such as particle swarm optimization, ant colony optimization etc. In this study, Markowitz’s mean-variance portfolio optimization with cardinality constraint is tried to solve which is not only quadratic optimization problem but also it is a binary integer programming problem. In order to solve mixed-integer quadratic optimization problem, we suggested nonlinear neural network based on coefficient of variation for solving cardinality constraint portfolio optimization (CCPO) problem. While analyzing the proposed algorithm efficiency, ISE-30 data (İstanbul Stock Exchange 30) was used between 10.06.2015-14.05.2017. Finally, the obtained results from the proposed algorithm are compared with the results obtained from the classic portfolio selection models in the literature.
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