非洲数字金融普惠的社会和制度决定因素:系统GMM方法

O. Evans
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引用次数: 1

摘要

近年来,非洲国家在数字金融服务方面表现出了令人瞩目的前景。然而,还有很多工作要做。在此背景下,本研究在1995-2018年期间使用系统GMM对42个非洲国家的小组进行了实证调查,探讨了数字金融普惠的社会和制度决定因素。实证结果表明,识字率、基础设施、失业率和生活水平等社会因素对数字普惠金融有显著影响。这些结果表明,社会现实对数字金融服务至关重要。同样,政治稳定和无暴力、控制腐败、监管质量、政府效率和法治等制度因素也具有统计上显著的积极影响。这些结果表明,更好的治理和更好的制度与更快的数字普惠金融相关。估计对估计方法的变化具有鲁棒性。
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SOCIAL AND INSTITUTIONAL DETERMINANTS OF DIGITAL FINANCIAL INCLUSION IN AFRICA: A SYSTEM GMM APPROACH
African nations have shown remarkable promise in digital financial services in recent years. However, much more remains to be done. Given this background, this study empirically investigates the social and institutional determinants of digital financial inclusion for a panel of 42 African countries using system GMM for the period 1995-2018. The empirical results show that social factors such as literacy, infrastructure, unemployment rate and standard of living have significant influence on digital financial inclusion. These results suggest that social realities matter for digital financial services. Equally, institutional factors such as political stability and absence of violence, control of corruption, regulatory quality, government effectiveness and rule of law have statistically significant and positive effects. These results suggest that better governance and better institutions correlate with faster digital financial inclusion. The estimates are robust to changes in estimation methods.
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