基于TRA-SD的共享单车对城市交通系统影响的建模与仿真

Xu Zhang, Yi Ding, Yaqin Cao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文拟基于计划行为理论,构建考虑公众绿色出行行为的城市绿色交通减排耦合模型。在此基础上,考虑人们出行行为选择和个人因素,构建了基于因果分析和反馈回路结构的系统动力学模型。采用BP神经网络计算相应的个人因素权重。SD模型在Vensim-PLE软件上进行检验,数据来自中国上海。结果表明,上海市应保持新能源汽车的推广,积极引入新型绿色交通工具,提高交通系统的可持续性。
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TRA-SD based Modelling and Simulation to Assess the Impact of Shared Bicycle on Urban Traffic System
This paper intends to build a coupling model of urban green traffic emission reduction considering public's green travel behaviour based on theory of planned behaviour. Then a SD (system dynamics) model is constructed based on causal analysis and feedback loop structure considering people's travel behaviour choice and the personal factors. The corresponding weight of personal factors was calculated by BP neural network. The SD model was tested on Vensim-PLE software with the data from Shanghai, China. The results show that Shanghai should maintain the promotion of new energy vehicles and actively introduce new green means of transportation to improve the sustainability of the transportation system.
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