估计伊朗公共和私人卫生支出的替代份额和弹性

M. Shahraki, S. Ghaderi
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摘要

背景:私人和公共卫生支出的替代率是可以解释公共和私人卫生支出对健康和预期寿命的不同影响的因素之一。因此,本研究的目的是估计伊朗公共和私人医疗支出替代的规模回报、份额和弹性。方法:在这项描述性分析研究中,采用线性和非线性最小二乘法研究了2000- 2017年伊朗国家一级私人和公共卫生支出的替代份额和弹性。研究数据包括从世界银行网站上提取的年度时间序列数据。采用Stata 14软件对经济模型进行估算。结果:在伊朗替代常数(CES)健康函数弹性的非线性和线性模型中,公共和私人卫生支出的替代弹性分别为0.30和0.17。非线性模型和线性模型的规模收益率分别为0.07和0.15。在非线性和线性模型中,公共卫生支出占预期寿命的比例分别为54%和53%,在这些模型中,私人卫生支出占预期寿命的比例分别为46%和47%。结论:在伊朗,公共和私人卫生支出不能相互替代,这些卫生支出的增加导致预期寿命的增加。在伊朗,公共和私人保健支出对预期寿命的回报呈规模递减趋势。在伊朗,公共卫生支出占预期寿命的比例高于私人卫生支出占预期寿命的比例。
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Estimating the Share and Elasticity of Substitution for Public and Private Health Expenditures in Iran
Background: The rate of substitution for private and public health expenditures is one of the factors that can explain the different effects of public and private health expenditures on health and life expectancy. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to estimate the return to scale, share, and elasticity of the substitution for public and private health expenditures in Iran. Methods: In this descriptive-analytical study, linear and nonlinear least squares methods were applied to study the share and elasticity in substitution of private and public health expenditures at national level in Iran during 2000-17. The study data included the annual time series data extracted from the World Bank website. The Stata 14 software was used to estimate the economic model. Results: In the nonlinear and linear models of Elasticity of Substitution Constant (CES) health function in Iran, elasticity of substitution for public and private health expenditures were 0.30 and 0.17, respectively. The return to scale in nonlinear and linear models was 0.07 and 0.15, respectively. The share of public health expenditures on life expectancy in the nonlinear and linear model was 54 and 53 % and the share of private health expenditures in these models was 46 and 47 %, respectively. Conclusion: Public and private health expenditures are poor substitutes of each other in Iran and increase of these health expenditures leads to an increase in life expectancy. A decreasing return exists to scale in public and private health expenditures on life expectancy in Iran. The share of public health expenditures is higher than the share of private health expenditures on life expectancy in Iran.
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