基于最小二乘蒙特卡罗定价的有效方差缩减

François-Michel Boire, R. Reesor, Lars Stentoft
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文考察了采用Longstaff & Carlo最小二乘算法对美式看涨期权和看跌期权进行定价时,跨期权特征的标准方差缩减技术的效率。施瓦兹(2001)。我们的数值实验评估了反采样、控制变量、重要采样及其组合的效率。鉴于大多数美国期权定价文献都是单独关注看跌期权或看涨期权,我们采用了麦克唐纳& &;Schroder(1998)比较解相一致的看涨期权和看跌期权对的表现。我们的结果首先表明,对于看跌期权,减少方差通常比看涨期权更有效,而控制变量是最有效的独立方法。我们还发现,效率的边际收益通常是通过结合方差减少技术来实现的,尽管有些技术可能会相互冲突。最后,由于美式看涨期权的估值可以通过对称看跌期权的定价来提高(Stentoft 2019),我们证明,通过将对称定价方法中的所有三种方差缩减技术相结合,可以大幅降低看涨期权的标准差,该方法将高波动性资产的长期看涨期权的标准差降低了20倍以上。
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Efficient Variance Reduction with Least-Squares Monte Carlo Pricing
This paper examines the efficiency of standard variance reduction techniques across option characteristics when pricing American-style call and put options with the Least-Squares Monte Carlo algorithm of Longstaff & Schwartz (2001). Our numerical experiments evaluate the efficiency of antithetic sampling, control variates, importance sampling, and combinations thereof. Whereas most of the American option pricing literature has focused on either put or call options individually, we employ the symmetry relation of McDonald & Schroder (1998) to compare performance for pairs of call and put options whose solution coincide. Our results first show that variance reduction is generally more efficient for put than call options and that control variates is the most efficient stand-alone method. We also find that marginal gains in efficiency are typically achieved by combining variance reduction techniques, though some techniques may interact conflictingly. Finally, since valuation of American-style call options can be improved by pricing symmetric put options instead (Stentoft 2019), we demonstrate that drastic reductions in the standard deviation of the call is obtained by combining all three variance reduction techniques in a symmetric pricing approach, which reduces the standard deviation by a factor of over 20 for long maturity call options on highly volatile assets.
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