伊朗阿拉克地区就诊妇女生育意愿相关因素分析(2019年)

R. Ayazi, L. Amini, Ali Montazeri, S. Haghani
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引用次数: 1

摘要

背景与目的:生育是人口科学最重要的组成部分之一,比死亡和迁移等其他人口现象更为重要。因此,大多数国家的人口政策主要侧重于降低或提高生育率。如今,我们正面临着伊朗生育趋势的下降,因此总生育率(TFR)自1978年中期以来已降至6.5,并在1999年达到更替水平,预计在2020年至2024年期间将降至1.13%。根据联合国2010年发布的“低人口增长情景”,如果伊朗继续保持更替水平的生育率,并且没有计划平衡它,伊朗人口将在未来80年达到3100万,其中47%是60岁以上的老年人。这些统计数字和报告引起了当局的严重关切,伊朗最高领导人多次提到这个问题,并呼吁认真规划和立法以摆脱这种情况。这使得人口增长政策成为政府的首要任务之一。同时,根据之前的研究,马卡齐省在女性生育意愿低的城市中排名第三。本研究旨在确定2019年在阿拉克健康中心就诊的18-45岁女性生育意愿的相关因素。材料与方法:本横断面研究于2019年对255名年龄在18-45岁之间的女性进行。妇女们不愿意生孩子。通过整群抽样从阿拉克10个保健中心的妇女中收集数据。采样于2019年1月进行。数据通过问卷收集,包括人口统计信息和生育意愿相关变量,来自Piltan等人的调查问卷(2015),其中包括宗教信仰(21项)、经济状况(15项)、社会参与(14项)、婚姻满意度(6项)、生育问题(7项课外活动,如教育、就业、照顾孩子的社会活动)。生育问题的减少可能会增加想要孩子的倾向。本研究的局限性之一是婚姻满意度和经济状况的自我报告可能会影响结果的准确性,这超出了研究者的控制范围。
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Factors Related to Childbearing Willingness in the Women Attending the Health Centers in Arak, Iran (2019)
Background & Aims: Childbearing is one of the most important components of population science and is more important than other demographic phenomena such as death and migration. Therefore, population policies in most countries are mainly focused on reducing or increasing fertility. Nowadays, we are facing a decrease in the tendency to have children in Iran, so that the total fertility rate (TFR) has decreased to 6.5 since mid-1978 and reached replacement level fertility in 1999 and is expected to decrease to 1.13% during 2020 - 2024. According to the Low Population Growth Scenario released by the United Nations in 2010, if Iran continues replacement level fertility and has no plan to balance it, its population will reach 31 million in the next 80 years, and 47 percent will be the elderly over 60 years. These statistics and reports have caused serious concerns for the authorities, and the Supreme Leader of Iran has mentioned this issue several times and called for serious planning and legislation to get out of this situation. This has made population growth policies one of the priorities of the government. Meanwhile, according to previous researches, Markazi province is ranked as the third city in terms of the low desire of women to have children. This study aimed to determine the factors related to childbearing willingness in 18-45 -year old women referring to Arak health centers in 2019. Materials & Methods: This cross-sectional study was performed on 255 women aged 18-45 years, in 2019. The women were unwilling to have children. Data were collected from these women referring to 10 health centers in Arak who were selected through cluster sampling. Sampling was performed in January 2019. The data were collected through a questionnaire and included demographic information and variables related to childbearing willingness taken from Piltan et al.' questionnaire (2015) which included 78 items on religious beliefs (21 items), economic status (15 items), social participation (14 items), marital satisfaction (6 items), childbearing problems (7 extracurricular activities such as education, employment, and social activities while caring for their children, and on the other hand, the tendency to have children may increase by reducing the problems of childbearing. One of the limitations of the present study was that self-report of marital satisfaction and economic status may have affected the accuracy of the results, which was beyond the control of the researcher.
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