中国能源消费规模、结构与效率的经济效应研究——基于省域尺度的空间计量分析

Yufan Jin, Wenxian Jiao
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摘要

探索能源消费规模、结构和效率的经济效应,对优化和调整能源政策,促进可持续发展具有指导意义。现有的研究很少同时考虑能源消费规模、结构和效率的经济效应。它们大多忽略了能源消费与经济增长之间的空间依赖关系。本文通过空间计量分析方法,探讨了2000 - 2017年中国省级能源消费规模、结构和效率对经济增长的空间集聚和空间依赖关系。研究发现,中国经济水平与能源消费规模之间不存在空间集聚特征。经济水平与能源结构呈负空间集聚,与消费效率呈正空间集聚。能源消费规模的扩大对区域经济增长有促进作用,但对周边区域经济增长的制约作用较大。清洁能源消费比重的提高对周边区域经济增长具有正向的空间溢出效应,能源效率的提高对周边区域经济增长均有促进作用。
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Research on Economic Effects of Energy Consumption Scale, Structure and Efficiency in China: Spatial Econometric Analysis at Provincial Scale
The exploration of economic effects of energy consumption scale, structure, and efficiency is instructive to the optimization and adjustment of energy policies, as well as the promotion of sustainable development. Existing studies seldom take the economic effects of energy consumption scale, structure, and efficiency into consideration at once. Most of them ignore the spatial dependence between energy consumption and economic growth. This paper explores the spatial agglomeration and spatial dependence of China’s provincial energy consumption scale, structure, and efficiency on economic growth from 2000 to 2017 through the spatial econometric analysis method. The study found that there are no spatial agglomeration characteristics between China’s economic level and energy consumption scale. But economic level showed negative spatial agglomerations with energy structure and positive spatial agglomerations with consumption efficiency, respectively. The expansion of energy consumption scales can promote local economic growth, but it has greater restrictive effects on the economic growth of adjacent regions. The increasing proportion of clean energy consumption can promote the economic growth of neighboring regions with positive spatial spillover effects, and the improvement of energy efficiency can enhance the economic growth in both local and adjacent regions.
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