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引用次数: 0

摘要

构建了一个多区域经济网络模型来描述开放经济系统。该模型用于研究这类开放经济系统的波动强度。我们发现了经济网络中隐藏的反馈机制。与相应的封闭系统相比,开放系统具有正反馈,因此当开放系统从贸易顺差中获益时,其波动更大。相反,开放系统变成一个负反馈系统,因此,当开放系统出现贸易逆差时,其波动较小。此外,我们发现开放度与波动呈负相关,这与Romer的实证结果一致。这种开放与波动之间的负相关关系可以用隐性反馈机制来解释。
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Fluctuation in a Multi-region Economic Network
A multi-regional economic network model is constructed to describe open economic systems. The model is used to study the strength of fluctuation in such open economic systems. We find a hidden feedback mechanism in the economic network. In comparison with the corresponding closed system, the open system has positive feedback, and thereby suffers stronger fluctuation if the open system gains from a positive trade balance. On the contrary, the open system turns into a negative feedback system, and thereby enjoys weaker fluctuation if the open system suffers from a negative trade balance. Furthermore, we find a negative correlation between openness and fluctuation, which conforms to the empirical result obtained by Romer. This negative correlation between openness and fluctuation is explained by the hidden feedback mechanism.
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