Alexandre Melo, Francisco Lhano, J. Gouveia, Miguel Santa-Clara
{"title":"是什么导致一个地区投票脱欧?","authors":"Alexandre Melo, Francisco Lhano, J. Gouveia, Miguel Santa-Clara","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3755909","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"On the 23rd of June 2016, the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, leading to an unprecedented event in European history. In this paper, we analyse the exit voting shares in 386 local jurisdictions across the UK's four nations, to find a relationship between the characteristics of a district, its population and its exit voting share. We use a multiple linear regression model to analyse the data. We conclude that a higher voting share for Brexit in a district is largely explained by it having a lower unemployment rate, a white ethnic majority, and lower education levels. We also conclude that the common misconception of elderly people contributing to the Brexit vote may be unfounded. We also establish a connection between having voted for a right party in the 2015 national election and having voted for Brexit in 2016.","PeriodicalId":132443,"journal":{"name":"European Economics: Political Economy & Public Economics eJournal","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"What Leads A District To A Brexit Vote?\",\"authors\":\"Alexandre Melo, Francisco Lhano, J. Gouveia, Miguel Santa-Clara\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.3755909\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"On the 23rd of June 2016, the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, leading to an unprecedented event in European history. In this paper, we analyse the exit voting shares in 386 local jurisdictions across the UK's four nations, to find a relationship between the characteristics of a district, its population and its exit voting share. We use a multiple linear regression model to analyse the data. We conclude that a higher voting share for Brexit in a district is largely explained by it having a lower unemployment rate, a white ethnic majority, and lower education levels. We also conclude that the common misconception of elderly people contributing to the Brexit vote may be unfounded. We also establish a connection between having voted for a right party in the 2015 national election and having voted for Brexit in 2016.\",\"PeriodicalId\":132443,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"European Economics: Political Economy & Public Economics eJournal\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2020-12-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"European Economics: Political Economy & Public Economics eJournal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3755909\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"European Economics: Political Economy & Public Economics eJournal","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3755909","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
On the 23rd of June 2016, the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, leading to an unprecedented event in European history. In this paper, we analyse the exit voting shares in 386 local jurisdictions across the UK's four nations, to find a relationship between the characteristics of a district, its population and its exit voting share. We use a multiple linear regression model to analyse the data. We conclude that a higher voting share for Brexit in a district is largely explained by it having a lower unemployment rate, a white ethnic majority, and lower education levels. We also conclude that the common misconception of elderly people contributing to the Brexit vote may be unfounded. We also establish a connection between having voted for a right party in the 2015 national election and having voted for Brexit in 2016.