俄罗斯北部地区人口潜力评估

F. Victor, Kuratova Lyubov
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摘要

如今,对俄罗斯联邦北部地区发展的所有方面进行研究的相关性在于,尽管该国古老的可居住地区的资源有限,但北方被认为是俄罗斯社会和经济发展的资源来源。在承认该领土是一个独立的国家观察对象的基础上,注意到北方经济的最佳劳动力资源可能成为邻近地区的人口潜力。对人口潜力的定义及其评估的一套指标提出了不同的观点和方法。根据人口动态的统计分析以及出生率和死亡率的水平,可以看出,自1990年代以来,北方地区的人口数量潜力显著下降。受移民外流的影响。结果表明,北方地区在年龄和性别结构上仍然存在正差异。研究结果可用于区域政府制定领土社会和经济发展战略计划。文章最后提出了一些建议。
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Evaluation of the Demographic Potential of Russia's Northern Regions
Nowadays relevance of studying of all aspects of the development of Northern regions of the Russian Federation consists in the fact that in spite of limited stocks in the old rendered habitable regions of the country North is considered as a source of resources for social and economic development of Russia. Based on the recognition that the territory is as a separate object of state observation it is noted that the best resources for labor of the economy of North may become demographic potential of adjacent regions. The different points of view and approaches to definition of the demographic potential and a set of indicators by its assessment are given. On a basis of the statistical analysis of population dynamics and a level of birth rate and mortality it is shown that quantitative demographic potential of the northern regions, since 1990s significantly decreased. It was affected by migratory outflow. It is revealed that in northern regions still have positive differences by age and sexual structure. The results can be used by regional governments by drawing up Strategic plans of social and economic development of territories. The article concludes with recommendations.
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