“多校分区”政策下北京西城区房价的计量分析

Haoxue Cui, Sirui Zhang, Shanshan Gao, Weiyi Zhang, Lantian Wang, Xuanwen Zheng
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摘要

根据2020年的“多学校分区”政策,学生将没有资格直接进入他们所在地区的学校。为了确定该政策对学区房价走势的影响程度,本研究基于学区划分对北京市西城区的房价进行了调查。本研究从“安居客”中获取北京市西城区的房价和社区概况数据,并将其分为政策前后15个月两个时间段。使用DID模型和时间固定效应来研究差异统计量,这表明政策的总体净影响。结果表明,在一定的统计水平上,该系数为负。这表明“多校分区”政策实施后,西城区学区房价有所下降,说明该政策有效降低了西城区学区房价,为2022年的“双降”政策奠定了基础。
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An Econometric Analysis of Housing Prices in Beijing’s Xicheng District Under the “Multi-School Zoning” Policy
Students will be ineligible for direct admission to schools in their district under the 2020 “multi-school zoning” policy. In order to determine the extent to which the trend of housing prices in school districts is affected by this policy, this study investigates the housing prices in Xicheng District, Beijing based on the division of school districts. In this study, the data of housing prices and the general situation of communities in Xicheng District, Beijing were obtained from “Anjuke,” dividing them into two periods: 15 months before and after the policy. The DID model and time fixed effect were used to investigate the differential statistics, which indicate the overall net impact of the policy. The results show that the coefficient is negative at a certain statistical level. This indicates that the housing prices of school districts in Xicheng District reduced after the implementation of the “multi-school zoning” policy, suggesting that the policy has effectively reduced the housing prices of school districts in Xicheng District and laid a foundation for the “double reduction” policy in 2022.
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