英国脱欧是否改变了英国金融市场的行为?

Bachar Fakhry
{"title":"英国脱欧是否改变了英国金融市场的行为?","authors":"Bachar Fakhry","doi":"10.1453/JEPE.V6I2.1868","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Abstract. The recent UK referendum results and subsequent initiation of Article 50 in the 2007 Lisbon Treaty set in motion the UK’s withdrawal from the European Union, acknowledge as Brexit. The result and subsequent action were unprecedented and for many unforeseeable. Apart from the political instability and division of the country, the complicated and long process of Brexit have both economic and financial consequences. With this in mind, we analyse the impact of Brexit on four main British financial markets: Equity, Foreign Exchange, Gold and Sovereign Debt; using daily data. We extendthe variance bound test proposed by Fakhry & Richter (2018) underpinned by an asymmetrical C-GARCH-m model of volatility. Unlike many in the past, we placed the emphasis on the stable markets; thus introducing the stable marketpre-condition hypothesis. We analyse the long and short run effects of Brexit on the stability of the UK’s financial market. Our results hint at a certain impact on the UK’s financial market in both the long and short runs on the market stability and hence efficiency. This seems to be dictated by the reaction of market participants to uncertainty surrounding the future of the UK Keywords. Volatility test, Asymmetrical C-GARCH-m, Financial markets, Brexit. JEL. C12, C58, D81, G01, G14, G15, G18, G40.","PeriodicalId":432468,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economics and Political Economy","volume":"6 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-05-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Did Brexit change the behaviour of the UK’s financial markets?\",\"authors\":\"Bachar Fakhry\",\"doi\":\"10.1453/JEPE.V6I2.1868\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Abstract. The recent UK referendum results and subsequent initiation of Article 50 in the 2007 Lisbon Treaty set in motion the UK’s withdrawal from the European Union, acknowledge as Brexit. The result and subsequent action were unprecedented and for many unforeseeable. Apart from the political instability and division of the country, the complicated and long process of Brexit have both economic and financial consequences. With this in mind, we analyse the impact of Brexit on four main British financial markets: Equity, Foreign Exchange, Gold and Sovereign Debt; using daily data. We extendthe variance bound test proposed by Fakhry & Richter (2018) underpinned by an asymmetrical C-GARCH-m model of volatility. Unlike many in the past, we placed the emphasis on the stable markets; thus introducing the stable marketpre-condition hypothesis. We analyse the long and short run effects of Brexit on the stability of the UK’s financial market. Our results hint at a certain impact on the UK’s financial market in both the long and short runs on the market stability and hence efficiency. This seems to be dictated by the reaction of market participants to uncertainty surrounding the future of the UK Keywords. Volatility test, Asymmetrical C-GARCH-m, Financial markets, Brexit. JEL. C12, C58, D81, G01, G14, G15, G18, G40.\",\"PeriodicalId\":432468,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Economics and Political Economy\",\"volume\":\"6 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-05-26\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Economics and Political Economy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1453/JEPE.V6I2.1868\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Economics and Political Economy","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1453/JEPE.V6I2.1868","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4

摘要

摘要最近的英国公投结果和随后启动的2007年《里斯本条约》第50条启动了英国退出欧盟,被称为英国脱欧。结果和随后的行动是前所未有的,对许多人来说也是不可预见的。除了政治不稳定和国家分裂之外,英国脱欧这一复杂而漫长的过程还会带来经济和金融方面的后果。考虑到这一点,我们分析了英国脱欧对四个主要金融市场的影响:股票、外汇、黄金和主权债务;使用每日数据。我们扩展了Fakhry & Richter(2018)提出的方差界检验,并以不对称的C-GARCH-m波动率模型为基础。与过去的许多基金不同,我们把重点放在稳定的市场上;由此引入稳定市场前提假设。我们分析了英国脱欧对英国金融市场稳定性的长期和短期影响。我们的研究结果暗示了英国金融市场在长期和短期内对市场稳定性和效率的一定影响。这似乎是由市场参与者对英国关键词未来的不确定性的反应所决定的。波动性检验,不对称C-GARCH-m,金融市场,英国脱欧。冻胶。C12, c58, d81, g01, g14, g15, g18, g40。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Did Brexit change the behaviour of the UK’s financial markets?
Abstract. The recent UK referendum results and subsequent initiation of Article 50 in the 2007 Lisbon Treaty set in motion the UK’s withdrawal from the European Union, acknowledge as Brexit. The result and subsequent action were unprecedented and for many unforeseeable. Apart from the political instability and division of the country, the complicated and long process of Brexit have both economic and financial consequences. With this in mind, we analyse the impact of Brexit on four main British financial markets: Equity, Foreign Exchange, Gold and Sovereign Debt; using daily data. We extendthe variance bound test proposed by Fakhry & Richter (2018) underpinned by an asymmetrical C-GARCH-m model of volatility. Unlike many in the past, we placed the emphasis on the stable markets; thus introducing the stable marketpre-condition hypothesis. We analyse the long and short run effects of Brexit on the stability of the UK’s financial market. Our results hint at a certain impact on the UK’s financial market in both the long and short runs on the market stability and hence efficiency. This seems to be dictated by the reaction of market participants to uncertainty surrounding the future of the UK Keywords. Volatility test, Asymmetrical C-GARCH-m, Financial markets, Brexit. JEL. C12, C58, D81, G01, G14, G15, G18, G40.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊最新文献
The determinants of the intermediate products export: The case of Switzerland Bank credit and transmission mechanisms of monetary policy in Uganda The contribution of human capital to the economic development of Cameroon, 1980-2018 Are they willing to participate? A review on behavioral economics approach to voters turnout Financialization and political economy of financial regulation in Uganda
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1