电力部门碳峰值区域路径研究

Yuhan Liu, Changzheng Gao, Lei Zhu, Y. Guo, Mingrui Zhao
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摘要

中国已经宣布了2020年的双重碳排放目标,即在2030年前达到碳排放峰值,到2060年实现碳中和。许多研究预测了中国能源的结构、途径和措施。本研究结合电力系统特点和电气化发展,提出了一种评估策略来分析某地区电力碳峰路径的适用性。本文以某地区为例,运用优化模型,提出了高进口电力和高核电容量两种情景。然后,通过评估电力系统的经济效率、可靠性和安全性以及碳目标对这两种路径进行了比较。虽然高核情景的千瓦时成本较低,但考虑到电力系统可靠性和总碳排放水平,高接收比的电力是该地区较好的选择。
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Study of Regional Pathway to Carbon Peak in Electric Power Section
China has announced the dual carbon targets in 2020, to achieve carbon peak before 2030 and neutralization by 2060. Many studies have forecasted the structures of China's energy as well as pathways and measures. Considering the characteristics of electric power system and the electrification development, this study proposed an assessment strategy to analyze the applicability of pathways to electric carbon peak in a region. Taking a certain region for an example, this paper comes up with two scenarios, high imported power and high nuclear capacity, by using the optimization model. Then, it compares these two pathways through evaluating the economic efficiency, reliability and security of power system, and carbon targets. Though lower cost per kWh of high nuclear scenario, taking into account the power system reliability and total carbon emission level, a high receiving ratio of power is a better choice for this certain region.
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