什么是产品?将标准国际贸易分类(SITC)应用于历史数据

Wolf-Fabian Hungerland, Christoph Altmeppen
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引用次数: 3

摘要

摘要对国际贸易标准分类(SITC)进行了研究。成千上万的研究依赖于分类的贸易数据,但这些研究的分析单位——按一定等级排列的商品类别——的质量却很少得到研究。人们往往不清楚一种产品或品种到底是什么。与此同时,20世纪50年代以前日益细化的贸易数据被从需要标准化的档案中提取出来。SITC为此提供了一个框架。我们做出了四个贡献:首先,我们找出了每个SITC修订的特殊性,分析了修订之间的关系,并提供了所有修订之间改进的对应表。我们发现修正选择会影响历史贸易数据的分析。其次,我们提出了将历史的、未标准化的贸易统计数据翻译给SITC的基本规则。第三,我们将德国第一次全球化的产品级贸易数据翻译为SITC版本2和版本4,以找出哪个版本可能更适用于历史数据。第四,我们会制定指标来定量评估我们的翻译工作。我们认为,尽管存在不可避免的缺陷,但应用SITC会产生有用的结果,即使是在非常分散的水平上。
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What is a product anyway? Applying the Standard International Trade Classification (SITC) to historical data
Abstract We study the Standard International Trade Classification (SITC). Thousands of studies rely on disaggregated trade data, but the quality of these studies’ unit of analysis—bins of goods categories arranged in certain hierarchies—is rarely studied. It is often unclear what a product or a variety really is. Meanwhile, increasingly granular trade data from before the 1950s are lifted from the archives that require standardization. The SITC provides a framework for that. We make four contributions: First, we work out the specificities of each SITC revision, analyze how revisions are related, and provide improved correspondence tables between all revisions. We show that revision choice can affect the analysis of historical trade data. Second, we propose basic rules for translating historical, unstandardized trade statistics to the SITC. Third, we translate German product-level trade data from the first globalization to both SITC revisions 2 and 4 in order to find out which revision may be more applicable to historical data. Fourth, we then develop metrics to quantitatively assess our translation exercise. We argue that despite inevitable imperfections, applying the SITC yields useful results, even on a very disaggregated level.
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