预测纽约西部玉米产量的基础

P. D. Taylor, W. Tomek
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引用次数: 14

摘要

本研究建立了一个简单的模型来预测特定地区的玉米产量。改善预测可以改善对冲决策。然而,基的行为取决于解释变量,这些变量本身很难精确预测。这限制了该模型的有效性,但相对于幼稚的预测,它确实提供了一些好处。
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Forecasting the Basis for Corn in Western New York
This study develops a simple model to forecast the basis for corn in a specific region. Improved forecasts can improve hedging decisions. Basis behavior, however, depends on explanatory variables that are themselves difficult to forecast with precision. Thi limits the u efulness of the ba is model , but it doe offer some benefit over naive foreca ts.
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