COVID-19儿童和老年人免疫网络移动计算模型

K. Priya, P. Rajendran, S. M, Prabhu J., Sukumar Rajendran, P. Kumar, T. P, Jabez Christopher, Jothikumar R.
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引用次数: 17

摘要

本文提出的计算模型使用了印度的COVID-19病例数据。从分析中可以看出,所提出的免疫模型决定了COVID - 19患者的康复率;此外,康复率不取决于患者的年龄。这些分析模型可被公共卫生专业人员、医院管理人员和流行病学家用于战略决策,以根据受大流行影响者的各种人口和社会因素提高卫生需求。基于移动的计算模型可以通过访问所走过路径的附近地理地图来计算受影响人群的旅行历史。设计/方法学/方法在本文中,作者开发了一个基于儿童和老年人免疫网络的COVID-19患者移动计算模型。由于计算模型难以进行数学分析,作者将计算模型简化为一般COVID-19感染者的计算免疫模型。这项工作中提出的模型使用了印度COVID-19病例的数据。本研究提出了针对COVID- 19患者的儿童和老年人免疫网络模型。在分析部分,使用了印度COVID-19病例的数据。在这个模型中,作者选择了两组人(儿童和老年人),他们都面临着发烧、咳嗽和肌痛等常见症状。从分析中观察到并证明了患者的免疫水平决定了COVID-19患者的康复率,而COVID-19患者的年龄对患者的康复率没有显著影响。2019冠状病毒病造成了一场全球卫生危机,深刻影响了我们看待世界和日常生活的方式。不仅传染速度和传播方式威胁到我们的能动性,而且为遏制病毒传播而采取的安全措施也需要保持社会距离。这项工作中的新模型侧重于印度的情况,因此可以帮助印度卫生组织进行未来的规划和组织。这项工作中的因素模型,如年龄、免疫水平、恢复率,可以被机器学习模型用于预测其他有用的结果。
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Pediatric and geriatric immunity network mobile computational model for COVID-19
Purpose The computational model proposed in this work uses the data's of COVID-19 cases in India. From the analysis, it can be observed that the proposed immunity model decides the recovery rate of COVID −19 patients; moreover, the recovery rate does not depend on the age of the patients. These analytic models can be used by public health professionals, hospital administrators and epidemiologists for strategic decision-making to enhance health requirements based on various demographic and social factors of those affected by the pandemic. Mobile-based computational model can be used to compute the travel history of the affected people by accessing the near geographical maps of the path traveled. Design/methodology/approach In this paper, the authors developed a pediatric and geriatric person’s immunity network-based mobile computational model for COVID-19 patients. As the computational model is hard to analyze mathematically, the authors simplified the computational model as general COVID-19 infected people, the computational immunity model. The model proposed in this work used the data's of COVID-19 cases in India. Findings This study proposes a pediatric and geriatric people immunity network model for COVID- 19 patients. For the analysis part, the data's on COVID-19 cases in India was used. In this model, the authors have taken two sets of people (pediatric and geriatric), both are facing common symptoms such as fever, cough and myalgia. From the analysis, it was observed and also proved that the immunity level of patients decides the recovery rate of COVID-19 patients and the age of COVID-19 patients has no significant influence on the recovery rate of the patient. Originality/value COVID-19 has created a global health crisis that has had a deep impact on the way we perceive our world and our everyday lives. Not only the rate of contagion and patterns of transmission threatens our sense of agency, but the safety measures put in place to contain the spread of the virus also require social distancing. The novel model in this work focus on the Indian scenario and thereby may help Indian health organizations for future planning and organization. The factors model in this work such as age, immunity level, recovery rate can be used by machine leaning models for predicting other useful outcomes.
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