女子网球Top100运动员的相对年龄效应(2014-2018)

A. Agricola, M. Bozděch, M. Zvonár, J. Zháněl
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引用次数: 1

摘要

相对年龄效应理论(RAE)的假设是,出生在日历年年初的运动员比出生在日历年年底的运动员更成功。出生较早的运动员比出生较晚的运动员有更高的生理、形态生理和心理能力水平的显著概率。几项研究表明,在女性中没有发现RAE,或者明显低于男性。研究目的是了解2014-2018年WTA巡回赛TOP100名女子职业网球选手(n=500)中RAE的影响。计算Cohen效应量(ES) w来评估RAE的影响程度。为了评估观察到的和预期的相对年龄季度分布之间的差异,使用卡方检验(ꭕ2)。在效应大小(ES)方面,2016年和2017年已经证明了RAE的中等影响(w = 0.33,分别为0.33)。W = 0.30);在2014年、2015年、2018年以及2014 - 2018年的整个观测期内,影响都很小。经统计分析,2016年不能排除RAE的影响(p < 0.05)。下一步是评估RAE对2014-2018年WTA最终排名的影响。球员们被分为四个位置:1-25、26-50、51-75和76-100。ES在76 ~ 100个位置显示RAE的中等影响(w = 0.34);其他部位RAE的影响较小。统计分析显示,1 ~ 25位、26 ~ 50位和76 ~ 100位不能排除RAE的影响(p < 0.05), 54 ~ 75位可以排除RAE的影响。研究结果显示,2016年和2017年RAE的影响中等,近年来(以及2014-2018年整个观测期内),RAE的影响较小。除了76-100位之外,RAE对WTA最终排名的影响也很小。
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The Relative Age Effect in Top100 Female Tennis Players (2014–2018)
The theory of Relative Age Effect (RAE) works on the assumption that athletes born at the beginning of a calendar year are more successful than athletes born in the end of the year. The athletes born early have a significant probability of a higher level of physiological, mor-phological and psychological abilities than later born athletes. Several studies show that the RAE was not found in females or it was significantly lower than in males. The research objective was to find out the influence of RAE in WTA Tour TOP100 female professional tennis players (n=500) in 2014–2018. Cohen’s effect size (ES) w was calculated to assess the level of the influence of RAE. To assess the differences between the observed and the expected relative age quarter distribution, Chi-Square test (ꭕ2) was used. In terms of effect size (ES), a medium influence of RAE has been proven in 2016 and 2017 (w = 0.33, resp. w = 0.30); a small influence has been proven in years 2014, 2015, 2018 and in the whole observed period 2014–2018. Based on statistical analysis, the influence of RAE cannot be rejected in years 2016 (p 0.05). The next step was to assess the influence of RAE on the final WTA ranking in 2014–2018. Players have been divided into four intervals: 1–25, 26–50, 51–75 and 76–100 positions. ES has showed the medium influence of RAE in 76–100 positions (w = 0.34); only small influence of RAE was found in other positions. Statistical analysis showed that the influence of RAE cannot be rejected in 1–25, 26–50 and 76–100 positions (p < 0.05): it can be rejected in 54–75 positions. The results of the research have shown the medium influence of RAE in 2016 and 2017: in the recent years (and in the whole observed period of 2014–2018), the influence of RAE was small. The influence of RAE on the final WTA ranking is also small, except the 76–100 positions.
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