{"title":"一代人能持续多久?评估无限和有限视界动态模型之间的关系*","authors":"Marco Guerrazzi","doi":"10.1111/1759-3441.12328","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>This note aims at assessing the temporal relationship that exists between the time reference of dynamic models with infinite and finite horizon. Specifically, comparing the optimal inter-temporal plans arising from an infinite horizon model and a 2-period overlapping generations model in their stationary equilibria, I suggest way to assess the number of time periods of the former that form a time unit of the latter. Relying on an argument grounded on consumption smoothing, I show that the theoretical length of a generation is an increasing function of the discount factor of the optimising agent. Moreover, from an empirical point of view, I give evidence that this analysis corroborates the well-documented nexus that links demographic developments and the path of interest rates, and it offers interesting insights for the calibration of discount rates in computational models.</p>","PeriodicalId":45208,"journal":{"name":"Economic Papers","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.9000,"publicationDate":"2021-08-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/1759-3441.12328","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"How Long does a Generation Last? Assessing the Relationship Between Infinite and Finite Horizon Dynamic Models*\",\"authors\":\"Marco Guerrazzi\",\"doi\":\"10.1111/1759-3441.12328\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>This note aims at assessing the temporal relationship that exists between the time reference of dynamic models with infinite and finite horizon. Specifically, comparing the optimal inter-temporal plans arising from an infinite horizon model and a 2-period overlapping generations model in their stationary equilibria, I suggest way to assess the number of time periods of the former that form a time unit of the latter. Relying on an argument grounded on consumption smoothing, I show that the theoretical length of a generation is an increasing function of the discount factor of the optimising agent. Moreover, from an empirical point of view, I give evidence that this analysis corroborates the well-documented nexus that links demographic developments and the path of interest rates, and it offers interesting insights for the calibration of discount rates in computational models.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":45208,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Economic Papers\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-08-16\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1111/1759-3441.12328\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Economic Papers\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1759-3441.12328\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economic Papers","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1759-3441.12328","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
How Long does a Generation Last? Assessing the Relationship Between Infinite and Finite Horizon Dynamic Models*
This note aims at assessing the temporal relationship that exists between the time reference of dynamic models with infinite and finite horizon. Specifically, comparing the optimal inter-temporal plans arising from an infinite horizon model and a 2-period overlapping generations model in their stationary equilibria, I suggest way to assess the number of time periods of the former that form a time unit of the latter. Relying on an argument grounded on consumption smoothing, I show that the theoretical length of a generation is an increasing function of the discount factor of the optimising agent. Moreover, from an empirical point of view, I give evidence that this analysis corroborates the well-documented nexus that links demographic developments and the path of interest rates, and it offers interesting insights for the calibration of discount rates in computational models.
期刊介绍:
Economic Papers is one of two journals published by the Economics Society of Australia. The journal features a balance of high quality research in applied economics and economic policy analysis which distinguishes it from other Australian journals. The intended audience is the broad range of economists working in business, government and academic communities within Australia and internationally who are interested in economic issues related to Australia and the Asia-Pacific region. Contributions are sought from economists working in these areas and should be written to be accessible to a wide section of our readership. All contributions are refereed.