比特币、黄金和美元——复制与延伸

D. Baur, T. Dimpfl, Konstantin Kuck
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引用次数: 11

摘要

Dyhrberg(2016)在GARCH框架内分析了比特币、黄金和美元之间的关系,并指出比特币可以归类为介于黄金和美元之间的东西。本文使用相同的样本和计量经济学模型来复制研究结果,并证明精确的复制是不可能的,而包括描述性分析在内的其他统计方法提供了更可靠的结果,但结果却截然不同。基于原始样本和延长样本期的研究结果表明,比特币的回报率既不“介于中间”,也不接近黄金和美元。
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Bitcoin, Gold and the Dollar - A Replication and Extension
Dyhrberg (2016) analyzes the relationship between Bitcoin, gold and the US dollar within a GARCH framework and states that Bitcoin can be classified as something in between gold and the US dollar. This paper uses the same sample and econometric models to replicate the findings and demonstrates that exact replication is not possible and that alternative statistical methods including a descriptive analysis provide more reliable, yet very different results. The findings based on the original sample and an extended sample period show that Bitcoin returns exhibit characteristics that are neither "in between" nor anywhere near gold and the US dollar.
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