河北省研究生教育预测模型的实证研究

Lan-qin Wang, Wei-Wei Zhuang, Yu-Fen Liu
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引用次数: 3

摘要

正确预测全社会未来的发展需求,提前对研究生教育进行调整和规划,对实现河北省研究生教育的持续健康发展,形成河北省研究生教育发展与社会经济发展的良性互动具有重要意义。运用趋势拟合模型和线性回归模型,对河北省“十二五”、“十三五”期间实现的研究生教育规模进行了预测,并指出研究生招生规模应与GDP增速相适应。最后,对河北省研究生教育的未来发展提出了建议。
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An empirical study on the prediction model of postgraduate education in Hebei Province
The correct prediction of the future development needs of the whole society, as well as the advanced adjustments and planning of postgraduate education are of great significance to achieve the sustainable and healthy development of postgraduate education in Hebei Province and to form a positive interaction between the development of postgraduate education and socio-economy development in Hebei Province. Based on the trend fitting model and the linear regression model, this paper predicts the scale of postgraduate education in Hebei Province to be achieved during the 12th and the 13th Five-year Plan, and points out that the scale of graduate student enrollment should be compatible with the GDP growth rate. Finally, we put forward some suggestions for the future development of the postgraduate education in Hebei Province.
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