印尼橡胶出口国在俄罗斯贸易协定政策实施后的第15个主要目标国家

Marlina Banne Lembang, Yulius Pratomo
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引用次数: 10

摘要

本研究的目的是研究在实施自贸协定后,影响印尼对印尼15个主要贸易伙伴的橡胶出口绩效的因素。本研究采用Bergstrand重力模型(1985),利用2004 - 2010年15个国家的105次观测数据。然后,应用随机效应(RE)模型对重力模型进行估计。研究结果表明,第一,印尼主要贸易伙伴的人均GDP对出口有显著的正向影响。令人惊讶的是,距离对印尼橡胶出口有显著的正向影响。此外,印尼橡胶的主要出口目的地是ACFTA的成员,即中国和新加坡。最后,一些非成员国仍有潜力成为印尼的橡胶市场。因此,印尼政府应增加与他们的贸易。
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Ekspor Karet Indonesia ke-15 Negara Tujuan Utama Setelah Pemberlakuan Kebijakan ACFTA
The objective of this study is to examine factors affecting Indonesia’s rubber export performance to Indonesia’s 15 main trading partners after the implementation of ACFTA. This research employs Bergstrand Gravity Model (1985) using 105 observation for 15 countries from 2004 to 2010. Then, the gravity model is estimated by applying random effects (RE) model. The results show that, first, GDP per capita of Indonesia’s main trading partners have significantly positive impact on export. Surprisingly, distance has significantly positive effect on Indonesia’s rubber export. Further, Indonesia’s rubber major export destinations are the member of ACFTA, i.e. China and Singapore. Last, some of the non member countries are still potential to be Indonesia’s rubber market. Therefore, the Government of Indonesia should increase trading with them.
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