单发设备可靠性挑战

Daniel J. Foley, Darryl W. Kellner
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引用次数: 3

摘要

今天的预算问题限制了许多项目的总体预算,随后也限制了可靠性项目的预算。因此,通常情况下,产品测试可能会大幅减少,或者根本不执行。这导致有限的甚至没有测试信息来支持开发系统的可靠性预测,包括单枪设备。早期和整个开发阶段缺乏数据可能导致不准确的可靠性预测,或者至少是可信度有限的预测。本文将讨论与解决和减轻这些不准确性相关的挑战。本文将首先强调获得对系统生命周期的全面理解的必要性和方法。这包括对系统的操作和非操作阶段的详细理解,包括环境和暴露的持续时间,以及操作顺序(有持续时间)。然后,本文将举例说明使用这些信息来识别和使用可靠性信息,并使用一个示例问题来开发所研究的单发装置的准确预测。
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Single-shot device reliability challenges
Today's budgetary concerns represent constraints that limit the overall budget of many programs and, subsequently, also the reliability program budget. Because of this, often times product testing may be significantly scaled down or not performed at all. This results in limited to no test information to support a reliability prediction for a development system, including single-shot devices. This lack of data early and throughout the developmental phase can result in an inaccurate reliability prediction or, at the least, one with a limited confidence. This paper will discuss the challenges associated with addressing and mitigating these inaccuracies. It will start by emphasizing the need and approach to gaining a thorough understanding of the system's life cycle. This includes a detailed understanding of the system's operational and non-operational phases, including environments and durations of exposure, and operating sequence (with durations). The paper will then illustrate use of this information to identify and employ reliability information using an example problem to develop an accurate prediction for the single-shot device under study.
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