美联储控制利率吗?

E. Fama
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引用次数: 50

摘要

美联储设定的联邦基金目标利率TF在多大程度上影响其他利率?利率有许多与流动性无关的变化,而流动性对利率的任何影响在较长的期限内都会迅速消散。对于短期利率,所有的测试都有如下解释:(i)美联储有权控制并使用利率,(ii)美联储对利率几乎没有权力或选择不行使其权力。最后,没有确凿的证据(无论是在这里还是在其他地方)证明美联储与市场力量在长期利率路径上的作用。
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Does the Fed Control Interest Rates?
To what extent does TF, the target Federal funds rate set by the Fed, influence other rates? There is lots of variation in rates unrelated to TF, and any effects of TF on rates dissipate quickly for longer maturities. For short rates, all the tests have interpretations in terms of: (i) a Fed that has the power to control rates and uses it, and (ii) a Fed that has little power over rates or chooses not to exercise its power. In the end, there is no conclusive evidence (here or elsewhere) on the role of the Fed versus market forces in the long-term path of interest rates.
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