市场贷款中的不准确信息

Vesa Pursiainen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

借款人在信用卡债务偿还和合并市场贷款中提供的信息不准确包含有关信用风险的信息。我根据三个指标来识别不准确:贷款金额与未偿还信贷余额的一致性,报告收入的圆整性,以及所选贷款金额的圆整性。由这些指标构建的不准确指数对违约的可能性具有显著的预测能力,而且额外的违约风险不会被更高的利率所补偿。不准确信息在社会资本较低的地区更为普遍,这意味着社会规范较弱,在职业被认为不太诚实的借款人中,以及在真实收入不确定性较高的借款人中。
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Inaccurate Information in Marketplace Loans
Inaccuracy of borrower-provided information in marketplace loans for credit card debt repayment and consolidation contains information about credit risk. I identify inaccuracies based on three indicators: consistency of loan amount with outstanding credit balance, roundness of reported income, and roundness of chosen loan amount. An Inaccuracy Index constructed from these indicators has significant predictive power over the likelihood of default, and the additional default risk is not compensated by higher interest. Inaccurate information is more prevalent in areas with lower social capital, implying weaker social norms, among borrowers whose professions are considered less honest, and among borrowers with higher genuine income uncertainty.
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