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Insider Trading Profitability in Turkey 土耳其的内幕交易盈利能力
Pub Date : 2021-07-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3896937
S. B. Avci
This study presents the first large-scale, comprehensive evidence on the insider trading patterns and abnormal returns in the Turkish stock market. Starting with a summary of the legislation, an event study methodology is used to compute daily abnormal returns of almost 65,000 insider transactions. Findings show that insiders earn 1.56 percent more than the market average return on the first six days following the trading day. The highest abnormal returns are earned by small firm insiders. Top executives, officers, directors, legal entities, funds, and large shareholders earn significantly higher than the market average return. Short-term and midterm abnormal profits vary with size, the value of the trade, holdings of the insider, relation of the insider with the company, number of insiders within a company, and whether the transaction is a sale or purchase.
本研究首次对土耳其股票市场内幕交易模式与异常收益进行了大规模、全面的实证研究。从立法概述开始,使用事件研究方法计算近6.5万笔内幕交易的每日异常回报。调查结果显示,在交易日后的前6天,内部人士的收益比市场平均回报率高出1.56%。最高的异常回报是由小公司内部人士获得的。高管、高管、董事、法人实体、基金和大股东的回报率明显高于市场平均水平。短期和中期异常利润随交易规模、交易价值、内部人持股、内部人与公司的关系、公司内部的内部人人数以及交易是买卖而变化。
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引用次数: 0
Delving into Ponzi Schemes - Evolution Impact and Enforcement 深入研究庞氏骗局——演变、影响和执行
Pub Date : 2021-06-02 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3869793
Visakha Raghuram, M. Dubey
Ponzi Schemes is not a very complex form of thievery, in fact, they are quite simple. The only job is to dupe the unassuming investors into handing over their money under the guise that it would be placed into some form of investment. Given that it’s a scam, the money is never really invested, yet the “returns” do in turn happen. The question as to how the swindler manages to return the investment is answered in this paper. Furthermore, mushrooming of the Ponzi scheme in India is a common occurrence in the contemporary times, the root cause for such scams could be found in the failure of the formal financial institutions in catering to the felt needs of the people for a savings and thrift schemes by expanding their geographical coverage to all parts of India and a general lack of awareness amongst masses of the distinction between legal and permitted financial products and illegal and unsafe schemes. The article further analyses various Indian cases and assesses the viability of the Laws in force in India and the newly introduced the Unregulated Deposits Schemes (Banning) Act, 2019 and the Unregulated Deposits Schemes Rules, 2020.
庞氏骗局并不是一种非常复杂的盗窃形式,事实上,它们非常简单。唯一的工作就是欺骗那些谦逊的投资者,让他们假借某种形式的投资的幌子,交出他们的钱。鉴于这是一个骗局,这些钱从来没有真正投入,但“回报”确实会发生。本文回答了骗子如何设法收回投资的问题。此外,庞氏骗局在印度的迅速发展是当代的常见现象,这种骗局的根本原因可以找到正规金融机构未能通过将其地理覆盖范围扩大到印度所有地区来满足人们对储蓄和节俭计划的需求,以及大众普遍缺乏对合法和允许的金融产品与非法和不安全计划之间区别的认识。本文进一步分析了印度的各种案例,并评估了印度现行法律以及新出台的《2019年不受管制存款计划(禁止)法》和《2020年不受管制存款计划规则》的可行性。
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引用次数: 1
Scammed and Scarred: Effects of Investment Fraud on its Victims 受骗与伤痕:投资欺诈对受害者的影响
Pub Date : 2021-05-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3850928
Samuli Knüpfer, V. Rantala, Petra Vokatá
We study the effects of investment-fraud victimization using information on thousands of Ponzi scheme participants combined with register data on the Finnish population. A difference-in-differences analysis reveals the victims earn 5% less income after the scheme collapses. This persistent loss arises from a combination of unemployment, absenteeism, mobility, and labor force exit, and its long-run value exceeds the direct investment loss. Victims also experience higher indebtedness and more divorces and shy away from investments delegated to asset managers. These scars from fraud victimization add to the social cost of fraud and are relevant for optimal regulatory design.
我们利用数千名庞氏骗局参与者的信息,结合芬兰人口的登记数据,研究了投资欺诈受害的影响。一项差异分析显示,在计划崩溃后,受害者的收入减少了5%。这种持续损失是由失业、缺勤、流动性和劳动力退出等综合因素造成的,其长期价值超过了直接投资损失。受害者还会经历更高的负债和更多的离婚,并回避委托给资产管理公司的投资。这些欺诈受害者的伤疤增加了欺诈的社会成本,与最佳监管设计有关。
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引用次数: 6
Turn-of-the-Month Effect, FX Influence, and Efficient Market Hypothesis: New Perspectives from the Johannesburg Stock Exchange 月初效应、外汇影响和有效市场假说:来自约翰内斯堡证券交易所的新视角
Pub Date : 2021-05-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3840993
Evangelos Vasileiou
This paper examines the Turn of the Month (TOM) effect in the highly capitalized emerging South African stock market which presents this calendar not only in the stock market, but in the USDZAR FX market also. These characteristics enable us to gain new perspectives on the study of the TOM effect. Specifically, we show that the inefficiencies in FX market (against a hard currency) influence not only the domestic stock market’s performance but also its Calendar Anomalies (CA). Additionally, we present some practical strategies based on the TOM effect which can prove beneficial for investors and outperform the stock market.
本文研究了高度资本化的新兴南非股票市场中的月转(TOM)效应,该效应不仅在股票市场中呈现出这种日历,而且在USDZAR外汇市场中也是如此。这些特征使我们对TOM效应的研究有了新的视角。具体而言,我们表明外汇市场(相对于硬通货)的低效率不仅影响国内股市的表现,而且影响其日历异常(CA)。此外,我们还提出了一些基于TOM效应的实用策略,这些策略可以证明对投资者有利并超越股市。
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引用次数: 1
Correlates of Compliance: Examining Consumer Fraud Risk Factors by Scam Type 合规的相关性:按诈骗类型检查消费者欺诈风险因素
Pub Date : 2021-02-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3793757
Marguerite DeLiema, Yiting Li, Gary Mottola
Consumer fraud reports in the United States have increased each year along with median losses. Using survey data from 1,175 American and Canadian consumers who reported a scam to a North American consumer complaint organization, this study examines the correlates of engaging with (i.e., responding to) and complying with three types of consumer fraud: opportunity-based scams, threat-based scams, and consumer purchase scams. Consumers were less likely to engage with and lose money in threat-based scam solicitations relative to opportunity-based and consumer purchase scams. Risk factors, including household income, loneliness, financial fragility, and financial literacy, varied across scam categories. Different risk factors were associated with engaging in the scam than were associated with actually losing money. Having advance knowledge of fraud prior to being targeted was protective across scam types. Results derived from this unique data set that combined fraud reports from a consumer complaint organization with survey responses suggest that education about specific scams is effective at protecting against victimization. Additional research is needed on how to effectively deliver fraud awareness messages to those who are most susceptible.
美国的消费者欺诈报告每年都在增加,损失的中位数也在增加。通过对1175名美国和加拿大消费者的调查数据,这些消费者向北美消费者投诉组织报告了欺诈行为,本研究考察了参与(即回应)和遵守三种类型的消费者欺诈行为的相关性:基于机会的欺诈、基于威胁的欺诈和消费者购买欺诈。与基于机会和消费者购买的诈骗相比,消费者更不可能参与基于威胁的诈骗请求,也更不可能在这些诈骗请求中损失金钱。风险因素,包括家庭收入、孤独、金融脆弱性和金融知识,在不同的骗局类别中有所不同。参与骗局的风险因素与实际赔钱的风险因素不同。在成为诈骗目标之前对诈骗有预先的了解,对各种诈骗类型都有保护作用。从消费者投诉组织的欺诈报告与调查反馈相结合的独特数据集得出的结果表明,关于特定欺诈的教育在防止受害方面是有效的。需要进一步研究如何有效地向最易受影响的人传递欺诈意识信息。
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引用次数: 4
Pay to Play in Investment Management 投资管理中的付费游戏
Pub Date : 2020-10-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3446357
William Beggs, Thuong Harvison
This study investigates the pervasiveness of pay to play activities in the management of U.S. public pension assets. Our tests show the presence of government clients for an investment advisory firm is strongly associated with past owner and officer contributions to the campaigns of influential state politicians. We use the adoption of SEC pay to play rules in 2011 as a quasi-experiment. Prior to implementation, government clients make up nearly twice the number of clients in an advisor’s client base for donor advisors relative to non-donor advisors. We observe a precipitous decline in donations made by advisors catering to government clients post-rule enactment.
本研究调查了美国公共养老金资产管理中普遍存在的付费游戏活动。我们的测试表明,投资咨询公司的政府客户与过去的所有者和官员对有影响力的州政治家的竞选活动的贡献密切相关。我们将2011年美国证券交易委员会(SEC)采用的“付费参与”规则作为一种准实验。在实施之前,在顾问的客户群中,政府客户占捐赠顾问客户数量的近两倍,而非捐赠顾问。我们观察到,法规颁布后,顾问为政府客户提供的捐款急剧下降。
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引用次数: 0
Inaccurate Information in Marketplace Loans 市场贷款中的不准确信息
Pub Date : 2020-09-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3326588
Vesa Pursiainen
Inaccuracy of borrower-provided information in marketplace loans for credit card debt repayment and consolidation contains information about credit risk. I identify inaccuracies based on three indicators: consistency of loan amount with outstanding credit balance, roundness of reported income, and roundness of chosen loan amount. An Inaccuracy Index constructed from these indicators has significant predictive power over the likelihood of default, and the additional default risk is not compensated by higher interest. Inaccurate information is more prevalent in areas with lower social capital, implying weaker social norms, among borrowers whose professions are considered less honest, and among borrowers with higher genuine income uncertainty.
借款人在信用卡债务偿还和合并市场贷款中提供的信息不准确包含有关信用风险的信息。我根据三个指标来识别不准确:贷款金额与未偿还信贷余额的一致性,报告收入的圆整性,以及所选贷款金额的圆整性。由这些指标构建的不准确指数对违约的可能性具有显著的预测能力,而且额外的违约风险不会被更高的利率所补偿。不准确信息在社会资本较低的地区更为普遍,这意味着社会规范较弱,在职业被认为不太诚实的借款人中,以及在真实收入不确定性较高的借款人中。
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引用次数: 0
Unlocking clients: The importance of relationships in the financial advisory industry 解锁客户:金融咨询行业关系的重要性
Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3132127
Umit G. Gurun, Noah Stoffman, Scott E. Yonker
We investigate the importance of client relationships in the financial advisory industry. We exploit firm-level variation in adoption of the Broker Protocol, which enabled clients to follow their advisers to member firms without fear of litigation. We show that advisers’ ability to maintain client relationships is a significant predictor of their employment decisions; that about 40% of client assets follow advisers when they move; and that once clients are ``unlocked,” firms become less willing to fire advisers for misconduct. Firms that unlock their clients subsequently experience higher levels of misconduct and increase their fees, calling into question whether clients are better off.
我们调查客户关系在金融咨询行业的重要性。我们在采用经纪人协议方面利用了公司层面的差异,这使客户能够跟随他们的顾问到成员公司,而不必担心诉讼。我们表明,顾问维持客户关系的能力是其雇佣决策的重要预测因素;大约40%的客户资产跟随顾问的变动;一旦客户被“解锁”,公司就不太愿意解雇行为不当的顾问。解锁客户的公司随后会经历更严重的不当行为,并增加他们的费用,这让人质疑客户是否变得更好了。
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引用次数: 10
Financial Forensics - An Overview 金融取证-概述
Pub Date : 2020-05-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3599703
Rohit Sinha
The term Fraud does not need any formal introduction, the disaster it has been creating since the past decades has left an everlasting effect on the world. It has become a part of almost every company in recent times. No matter what is the size, geographical location or the industry of the company, the impact is always highly negative. The origin of the word “Forensic” was from mid 17thcentury from Latin word “Forensis” which means “in open court, forum”. In an archaeological survey it is revealed that, during 3300-3500 B.C, the scribes (now accountants in real world) of the ancient Egypt were involved in fraud detection. But this niche area in finance is getting popular in the present world, because the growing complexities of the business, legal procedures, inefficiencies in the system attracts or tends the companies in committing a fraud. In simple words, financial fraud is knowingly using illegal ways to make money or other benefits.
欺诈这个词不需要任何正式的介绍,自过去几十年以来,它一直在制造灾难,给世界留下了持久的影响。近年来,它已成为几乎每家公司的一部分。无论公司的规模、地理位置或行业如何,其影响总是高度负面的。“Forensic”一词起源于17世纪中期的拉丁语“Forensic”,意思是“在公开法庭、论坛上”。考古调查显示,在公元前3300-3500年间,古埃及的文士(现在是现实世界的会计)参与了欺诈检测。但这个利基领域的金融在当今世界越来越受欢迎,因为日益复杂的业务,法律程序,低效率的系统吸引或倾向于公司实施欺诈。简而言之,金融欺诈是故意使用非法方式赚钱或其他利益。
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引用次数: 1
Applications of Artificial Intelligence in Financial Management Decisions: A Mini-Review 人工智能在财务管理决策中的应用综述
Pub Date : 2020-02-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3540140
Laila Al-Blooshi, Haitham Nobanee
Artificial Intelligence (AI) has, during the past few years, made many signs of progress which have enabled the creation of professional financing applications, which would, perhaps, disrupt the finance industry. Thus, it is assumed that the AI could not only replace human capital in full or in part but also enhance its performance beyond human benchmarks. For companies around the world, there are a variety of programs.

A systemic content analysis methodology was used to evaluate related literature publications in this study. A selection of papers, including posts, has been collected. This research focuses on broad publications peer-reviewed, including Scopus and SSRN, which are listed in quality and impact rankings. This selection of the highest-ranking papers not only guaranteed the quality of papers that were most reviewed and validated but also provided the most up-to-date research state during their publication periods. Some keywords are used to scan for artificial intelligence papers, such as artificial intelligence and financial articles such as corporate finance, artificial intelligence, digital finance, financial and artificial intelligence, etc.

AI has been found to be used by organizations around the world for the detection of anomalies. It is used to establish optimal investment strategies. The other use of AI in securities is algorithmic trading, programs that integrate information regarding changing market dynamics and price levels by using proprietary algorithms to making automated trading very rapidly.

However, given the financial consequences, companies should ensure a sufficient understanding of the AI and other technology used in business by the senior management and the board to ensure proper monitoring. This is particularly important in view of the growing expectations of Board members to monitor substantive issues affecting the long-term value of a company. The decision-making, deployment, and use of AI must be carried out within the context of risk management, in order to capture market improvements. It will include four main tasks, including risk recognition, risk assessment, prevention and risk control.
人工智能(AI)在过去几年中取得了许多进展,使专业融资应用程序的创建成为可能,这可能会颠覆金融业。因此,假设人工智能不仅可以全部或部分取代人力资本,而且可以提高其性能,超出人类的基准。对于世界各地的公司来说,有各种各样的项目。本研究采用系统内容分析方法评估相关文献。收集了一些论文,包括文章。本研究的重点是广泛的同行评审的出版物,包括Scopus和SSRN,它们在质量和影响力排名中列出。这种对排名最高的论文的选择不仅保证了被审查和验证最多的论文的质量,而且在其出版期间提供了最新的研究状态。一些关键词被用来扫描人工智能论文,比如企业金融、人工智能、数字金融、金融和人工智能等人工智能和金融类文章。人工智能被发现被世界各地的组织用来检测异常。它被用来建立最优投资策略。人工智能在证券领域的另一个应用是算法交易,该程序通过使用专有算法来快速进行自动交易,从而整合有关不断变化的市场动态和价格水平的信息。然而,考虑到财务后果,企业应确保对高级管理层和董事会在业务中使用的人工智能和其他技术有充分的了解,以确保适当的监控。鉴于董事会成员越来越期望监测影响公司长期价值的实质性问题,这一点尤其重要。人工智能的决策、部署和使用必须在风险管理的背景下进行,以便捕捉市场的改进。它将包括四项主要任务,包括风险识别、风险评估、预防和风险控制。
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引用次数: 8
期刊
Consumer Financial Fraud eJournal
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