23个发展中经济体的能源消耗、金融发展、二氧化碳排放和经济增长

M. A. Tinoco-Zermeño
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摘要

本研究考察了23个发展中国家的能源消费、二氧化碳排放、金融发展和经济增长之间的关系。计量经济学方法是基于面板两两格兰杰因果关系和面板var -格兰杰因果关系的固定效应的GMM估计。我们的研究可能是第一个估计2001-2019年期间欠发达经济体金融(私营部门银行信贷和流动负债)、能源(一次能源消费和发电)、环境(二氧化碳排放)和经济变量(GDP和通胀率)之间联合关系的研究之一。结果表明,金融发展与二氧化碳、金融发展与GDP、一次能源消费与二氧化碳之间存在双向因果关系;从金融发展到能源消费、从发电到二氧化碳排放的单向发展。我们没有发现GDP与能源或二氧化碳排放之间存在关系的证据。由于数据的可用性,我们无法用进一步的测试来补充我们的分析,这将丰富结果。研究结果可以指导决策者制定减少污染、改善能源利用和促进金融发展的政策。
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Energy consumption, financial development, CO2 emissions, and economic growth in 23 developing economies
This study examines the nexus among energy consumption, CO2 emissions, financial development, and economic growth in 23 developing countries. The econometric approach is based on panel pairwise Granger causality and GMM estimations of panel VAR-Granger causality with fixed effects. Our study is probably one of the first to estimate joint relationships between financial (bank credit to private sector and liquid liabilities), energy (primary energy consumption and electricity generation), environmental (CO2 emissions), and economic variables (GDP and inflation rates) in less developed economies over the 2001-2019 period. The results confirm bidirectional causality between financial development and CO2, financial development and GDP, and primary energy consumption and CO2; and unidirectional from financial development to energy consumption and from electricity generation to CO2. We did not find evidence of a relationship between GDP and energy or CO2 emissions. Due to data availability, we could not complement our analysis with further testing, which would enrich the results. The research may guide policymakers in designing policies to reduce contamination, improve energy use, and promote financial development.
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