技术:西非未来武装冲突和恐怖主义的谈判

B. Oyeniyi
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文以尼日利亚的博科圣地为例,探讨了技术对尼日利亚和西非未来武装冲突和暴力极端主义的影响。随着非洲进入以移动电话、互联网普及、3D打印和物联网日益普及为特征的新数字时代;具有相似意识形态的团体之间的联系将得到改善。作者最近在尼日利亚东北部实地考察的结果被用来揭示博科圣地在尼日利亚与尼日尔和喀麦隆交界地区跨界社区的活动。这些活动包括动员群众、传播意识形态、招募战略资产和分享技术知识等战术努力,并促进了博科圣地从一个挥舞匕首、射箭的组织转变为一个部署移动电话触发的简易爆炸装置的组织,同时协调对多个目标的袭击。毫无疑问,新的数字时代保证了文化凝聚力和更强大的外部支持,这些支持将在招聘、融资、物流和培训方面发挥作用。随着移动电话和互联网接入为有抱负的叛乱分子提供(危险的)信息和资源,如果博科圣地能够获得遥控无人机、四轴飞行器和其他装有自制炸弹和简易爆炸装置的“玩具”,尼日利亚、西非和非洲的未来会怎样?如果博科圣地发展出网络恐怖主义的能力,特别是因为网络恐怖主义影响数据和现金,不保证人身伤害的风险,只需要最少的资源投入,并提供了造成更高程度破坏的机会,那么国内恐怖主义会出现什么新的水平?本研究考察了这些问题以及政府在应对技术驱动的武装冲突和恐怖主义时可用的反应类型。
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Technology: Negotiating Tomorrow’s Armed Conflict and Terrorism in West Africa
This paper, using the case of Boko Haram in Nigeria, examines the impact of technology on future armed conflicts and violent extremism in Nigeria and West Africa. As Africa enters the new digital age, characterized by increasing access to mobile telephoning, internet penetration, 3D printing and the Internet of Things; networking between and among groups with similar ideologies will improve. Results from the author’s recent fieldwork in north-eastern Nigeria are used to shed light on Boko Haram’s activities across border communities in that region where Nigeria’s borders meet those of Niger and Cameroon. Those activities include tactical efforts like mobilizing crowds, disseminating ideologies, recruiting strategic assets, and sharing technical know-how, and have facilitated the transformation of Boko Haram from a dagger-wielding, arrow-shooting group into a deployer of mobile-phone-triggered IEDs, coordinating simultaneous attacks on multiple targets. Undoubtedly, the new digital age guarantees cultural cohesiveness and a more robust outside support that will serve in recruitment, financing, logistics and training. With mobile telephony and internet access providing (dangerous) information and resources to aspiring insurgents, what future awaits Nigeria, West Africa and Africa should Boko Haram gain access to remote controlled flying drones, quadcopters, and other ‘toys’ fitted with homemade bombs and IEDs? What new level of domestic terror would emerge if Boko Haram develops a capacity for cyberterrorism, especially since cyberterrorism affects data and cash, guarantees no risk of personal bodily harm, involves minimal resources commitment, and affords opportunities to inflict a higher level of damage? This study examines these issues and type of responses available to government in dealing with a technology-driven armed conflict and terrorism.
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