一种求解参数不确定多目标地下水问题的新方法

J. Ndambuki
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引用次数: 5

摘要

随着世界人口的不断增加,对提供更多的水来满足增加的人口的需求也在增加。因此,水资源领域的专家正在努力满足这一不断增长的需求。此外,随着地表水质量的恶化,地下水受到了更多的关注。这可能导致冲突,除非采取措施促进有意有效和可持续的剥削。本文讨论了当输入参数不确定时,在多目标框架下管理地下水的一种新方法。该工具的新颖性通过将其应用于一个假设的示例得到了明确的证明。结果表明,该工具是通用的,可以规定的解决方案,保证所需的鲁棒性水平。蒙特卡罗方法规定只使用7口井,而目前的方法规定使用更多的井(最多16口井),以获得更可靠的解决方案。这意味着,蒙特卡罗方法导致乐观的解决方案,这是容易变化的响应,在输入参数的扰动。
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A Novel Approach to Solving Multi-Objective Groundwater Problems with Uncertain Parameters
As the world population continues to increase, demand for the provision of larger amounts of water to carter for the increased population increases too. Thus, experts in the water resources arena are struggling to meet this everincreasing demand. Moreover, more attention is focusing on groundwater as surface water quality deteriorates. This may lead to conflict unless measures that promote deliberate efficient and sustainable exploitation are embraced. In this paper, we discuss a novel approach to managing groundwater within a multi-objective framework when the input parameters are uncertain. The novelty of the tool is explicitly demonstrated by applying it to an hypothetical example. Results show that the tool is versatile and can prescribe solutions which guarantee desired levels of robustness. While Monte Carlo approach prescribes the use of only 7 wells, the current approach prescribes the use of more wells (up to 16 wells) for a more robust solution. This implies that Monte Carlo approach leads to optimistic solutions which are prone to changes in response to perturbations in input parameters.
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