白纹伊蚊种群动态建模

AMCA-POP Pub Date : 2010-08-18 DOI:10.4204/EPTCS.33.2
Thomas Anung Basuki, A. Cerone, R. Barbuti, A. Maggiolo-Schettini, P. Milazzo, E. Rossi
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引用次数: 13

摘要

我们提出了一种用计算机科学的正式手段来模拟人口动态的方法。这允许对系统和分析工具(如模拟器和模型检查器)的应用进行明确的描述。特别地,白纹伊蚊(一种蚊子)种群的动态及其与随机循环序列演算(随机CLS)的建模被考虑。使用随机CLS来模拟种群动态需要一个扩展,允许将环境事件(如温度和降雨量的变化)考虑在内。通过将所构建的模型翻译成规范语言Maude,开发了仿真器,用于将模型得到的动态与实际数据进行比较。
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Modelling the Dynamics of an Aedes albopictus Population
We present a methodology for modelling population dynamics with formal means of computer science. This allows unambiguous description of systems and application of analysis tools such as simulators and model checkers. In particular, the dynamics of a population of Aedes albopictus (a species of mosquito) and its modelling with the Stochastic Calculus of Looping Sequences (Stochastic CLS) are considered. The use of Stochastic CLS to model population dynamics requires an extension which allows environmental events (such as changes in the temperature and rainfalls) to be taken into account. A simulator for the constructed model is developed via translation into the specification language Maude, and used to compare the dynami cs obtained from the model with real data.
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