探索非洲萨赫勒地区跨国恐怖主义的潜在驱动因素和反恐政策干预

S. Zondi
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摘要

当代全球事务面临着人类历史上最恶劣的现象之一,这种现象随着时间的推移以其目前前景无法比拟的速度发展。恐怖主义和反对恐怖主义的战争已经决定了我们生活的时代。从巴黎到巴马科,从纽约到瓦加杜古,从印度尼西亚到毛里塔尼亚,恐怖主义袭击的威胁和反恐干预现在已成为我们日常生活的一部分。跨国恐怖主义正在重新定义国际安全格局,在萨赫勒地区,这种现象已经对该区域的安全与稳定造成影响,主要原因是研究报告认为是恐怖主义的先决条件和决定性驱动因素的其他紧迫因素。这些先决条件和决定因素可分为结构性驱动因素、促成驱动因素、刺激驱动因素和促成恐怖主义的驱动因素。本文是对萨赫勒地区跨国恐怖主义的驱动因素和反政策干预的现有文献进行定性分析。本文首先阐述了在萨赫勒地区采取“潜在驱动因素”方法应对恐怖主义的原因。然后简要介绍了萨赫勒地区恐怖主义的背景和起源,然后详细分析了该地区恐怖主义的潜在驱动因素。论文最后强调了该地区相关行为体引入的政策干预措施。
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Exploring the Underlying Drivers of Transnational Terrorism in Africa’s Sahel Region and Counter-terrorism Policy Interventions
Contemporary global affairs are faced with one of the most malicious phenomena in human history that has evolved over time at a pace unrivalled by its present outlook. Terrorism and the war against it have come to define the age in which we live. Threats of terrorist attacks and counterterrorism interventions are now part of our daily lives from Paris to Bamako, from New York to Ouagadougou and from Indonesia to Mauritania. Transnational terrorism is redefining the international security landscape and, in the Sahel, this phenomenon has made its existence felt on the security and stability of the region, owing largely to other pressing factors that the study identifies as preconditions and determinant drivers of terrorism. These preconditions and determinants are categorised into structural drivers, enabling drivers, stimulating drivers and precipitating drivers of terrorism. The paper is a qualitative analysis of existing literature on the drivers and counter-policy interventions on transnational terrorism in the Sahel. The paper begins by unpacking reasons for adopting the underlying drivers approach to terrorism in the Sahel. It then provides a brief background and origins of terror in the Sahel, followed by a detailed examination of the underlying drivers of terrorism in the region. The paper concludes by highlighting policy interventions ushered in by relevant actors in the region.
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