基于网格数据的韩国地区降水临近预报

Changhwan Kim, Seyoung Yun
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引用次数: 1

摘要

近年来,降水临近预报引起了人们的广泛关注。例如,在韩国,由于频繁和意外的强降雨,最近几天经济损失严重,因此对精确降水临近预报的需求正在显著增加。在本文中,我们提出了一种基于U-Net的深度学习模型,该模型从数值模型进行预测,然后使用基于U-Net的深度学习模型对数据进行校正,从而提高最终预测的准确性。我们使用了两个数据集:再分析数据和LDAPS(Local data Assimilation and Prediction System)预测数据。这两个数据集都是基于网格的数据,覆盖了整个韩国地区。我们首先对再分析数据进行实验,以确定我们的U-Net模型可以找到大气动力学模式,即使它不是图像数据。接下来,我们使用LDAPS预测数据并将其应用于U-Net模型。由于LDAPS预测数据也是一种预测,我们本质上是对该数据进行校正任务。为此,在U-Net模型的前面添加一个可学习层,并与输入批连接以学习特定位置的信息。实验表明,基于U-Net的模型可以利用再分析数据找到模式。此外,它有可能提高LDAPS预测数据的准确性。我们还发现可学习层提高了测试精度。
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Precipitation Nowcasting Using Grid-based Data in South Korea Region
Recently, precipitation nowcasting has gained significant attention. For instance, the demand for precise precipitation nowcasting is significantly increasing in South Korea since the economic damage has been severe in recent days because of frequent and unexpected heavy rainfall. In this paper, we propose a U-Net based deep learning model that predicts from a numerical model and then corrects the data using the U-Net based deep learning model so that it can improve the accuracy of the final prediction. We use two data sets: reanalysis data and LDAPS(Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System) prediction data. Both data sets are grid-based data that covers the whole South Korea region. We first experiment with reanalysis data to identify that our U-Net model can find atmospheric dynamics patterns, even if it is not image data. Next, we use LDAPS prediction data and apply it to the U-Net model. Because LDAPS prediction data is also a prediction, we essentially conduct correcting task for this data. To this aim, a learnable layer is added at the front of the U-Net model and concatenated with the input batch to learn location-specific information. The experiment shows that the U-Net based model can find patterns using reanalysis data. Further, it has the potential to improve the accuracy of LDAPS prediction data. We also find that the learnable layer enhances test accuracy.
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